Shota Imanaga has quietly become a strikeout prop goldmine, hitting the over in 6 of his last 10 starts for a 60% success rate. His 6.3 average sits 0.6 strikeouts above typical lines, generating a robust +14.6% ROI on overs. The data supports continued over betting on Imanaga strikeout props.
Expert Analysis
Imanaga's strikeout surge reflects his successful transition to MLB hitters recognizing his repertoire. The 6.3 strikeout average represents genuine skill development rather than variance - rookie pitchers often see improved whiff rates as they gain confidence attacking the zone with secondary offerings. His +0.6 differential above betting lines suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his strikeout ceiling, creating exploitable value. The 60% over rate paired with +14.6% ROI indicates sustainable edge rather than lucky variance. Most encouraging is the consistency - even during his recent under, Imanaga's underlying metrics likely remained strong. The -23.6% under ROI warns against contrarian betting, as his floor has proven unreliable. Japanese pitchers historically show strong second-half adjustments in their debut seasons, and Imanaga fits this pattern perfectly. His September sample within this stretch should carry extra weight, as late-season performance often predicts future trends. The lack of extreme outliers in his recent log suggests repeatable process over fluky results.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Imanaga's 60% over rate and +14.6% ROI create legitimate value, especially when lines remain conservative around 5.7. Target overs when he faces middling offenses that won't chase him from games early but provide enough strikeout opportunities. Main risk is small sample size and potential market correction, but his underlying skill development supports continued success.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 6.5 | 11.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 6.5 | 3.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-06 | OPP | 5.5 | 10.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-01 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Shota Imanaga's Strikeouts prop record last 10 games?
Imanaga went 6-4-0 over/under on strikeout props in his last 10 games, hitting overs 60% of the time. He averaged 6.3 strikeouts against lines typically set around 5.7, creating consistent value for over bettors with a +14.6% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Shota Imanaga Strikeouts last 10 games?
Bet the over on Imanaga strikeout props. His 60% success rate and +0.6 average differential above lines creates legitimate edge. The -23.6% under ROI confirms avoiding contrarian plays, while his skill development suggests the trend continues.
What's Shota Imanaga's average Strikeouts last 10 games?
Imanaga averaged 6.3 strikeouts over his last 10 games compared to typical betting lines around 5.7. This +0.6 differential represents significant value, as even small edges compound profitably over time in strikeout props.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Imanaga strikeout overs against average offensive teams that provide strikeout opportunities without forcing early exits. Avoid elite offenses that might chase him early and weak lineups where games could become blowouts affecting his usage.