Pete Crow-Armstrong's hits prop shows a clear under bias in away games, going under in 61.1% of contests with a 14-22-0 record. His 0.92 average sits 0.33 hits below the typical 1.25 line, generating a profitable 16.7% ROI on unders while overs lose at -25.8%. This represents a strong lean under opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Pete Crow-Armstrong's road struggles create a compelling under case that extends beyond typical rookie inconsistency. His 0.92 hits per away game average reflects the harsh reality of facing unfamiliar pitching staffs without the comfort of home surroundings. The 38.9% over rate indicates books haven't fully adjusted to his road deficiencies, creating persistent value on the under. Crow-Armstrong's approach appears more tentative away from Wrigley, likely contributing to weaker contact and fewer productive at-bats. The 16.7% ROI on unders demonstrates this isn't random variance but a legitimate skill-based edge. His current two-game under streak aligns with the broader pattern, though the previous five-game under streak suggests books may occasionally overcorrect. The lack of meaningful over streaks (maximum three games) reinforces the consistency of his road hitting struggles. While young players can develop quickly, Crow-Armstrong's away hitting profile shows enough stability across 36 games to suggest this trend has staying power. The absence of split data prevents deeper contextual analysis, but the raw numbers paint a clear picture of a player who simply hits better at home.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Crow-Armstrong's road hitting struggles are well-documented through 36 games, creating consistent value on unders with his 0.92 average sitting comfortably below standard lines. Target this prop when the line sits at 1.5 hits, as his 38.9% over rate suggests books haven't fully adjusted. The main risk is sample size concerns and potential rookie development, but the 16.7% under ROI indicates a sustainable edge worth exploiting.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Pete Crow-Armstrong's Hits prop record away games?
Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone 14-22-0 on his hits prop in away games, hitting the under 61.1% of the time. He averages 0.92 hits per road game across 36 contests, consistently falling short of standard betting lines.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Pete Crow-Armstrong Hits away games?
Bet the under on Pete Crow-Armstrong's hits prop in away games. His 0.92 road average creates value against typical 1.25+ lines, with unders showing a profitable 16.7% ROI compared to -25.8% losses on overs.
What's Pete Crow-Armstrong's average Hits away games?
Pete Crow-Armstrong averages 0.92 hits per away game, sitting 0.33 hits below the standard 1.25 line. This significant gap between his actual production and betting expectations creates consistent under value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Pete Crow-Armstrong hits unders when he's playing away games, especially when lines are set at 1.5 hits. His road struggles are most pronounced, creating the largest gap between his actual performance and market expectations.