Overall Home Runs: 18-96-0 O/U
15.8%
Over Rate
0.17
Avg HR
0.52
Avg Line
-0.3
Avg vs Line
-69.9%
Over ROI
114
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Home Runs Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Home Runs Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 18-96 | 15.8% | 0.52 | 0.17 | -69.9% |
| Away Games | 10-53 | 15.9% | 0.5 | 0.17 | -69.7% |
| As Favorite | 1-10 | 9.1% | 0.5 | 0.09 | -82.6% |
| High Total Games | 2-11 | 15.4% | 0.5 | 0.15 | -70.6% |
| Home Games | 8-43 | 15.7% | 0.54 | 0.16 | -70.0% |
| Last 10 Games | 0-10 | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | -100.0% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
15.7% Over
Away
15.9% Over
By Line Range
Line < -1.5
—% Over
Line > 2.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
0.0% Over
Other Nolan Arenado Props
St. Louis Cardinals Team Trends
View ATS records and betting trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Nolan Arenado's overall Home Runs prop record?
Nolan Arenado is 18-96 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (15.8% over rate).
When does Nolan Arenado go OVER on Home Runs the most?
Nolan Arenado's best Home Runs situation is Away Games, where they hit the over 15.9% of the time.
What's Nolan Arenado's average Home Runs per game?
Nolan Arenado averages 0.17 HR per game vs an average line of 0.52.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Last 10 Games is Nolan Arenado's worst Home Runs situation at just 0.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 114 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.