Miles Mastrobuoni's Total Bases props have been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 20.0% overs across his last 10 games with an 8-game under streak. His 1.0 average sits 1.4 bases below typical lines, generating +52.7% ROI on unders. This represents a clear lean under with strong conviction.
Expert Analysis
Mastrobuoni's Total Bases struggles reflect the harsh reality of a utility infielder fighting for playing time in Chicago's crowded middle infield. His 1.0 average across 10 games reveals a player consistently falling short of sportsbooks' expectations, which appear anchored to his limited 2023 sample rather than current role reality. The 8-game under streak isn't fluky variance—it's systematic underperformance driven by inconsistent at-bats and reduced opportunities against quality pitching. Mastrobuoni's profile as a contact-over-power hitter makes him particularly vulnerable when lines exceed 1.5 total bases, as he lacks the extra-base hit upside to overcome quiet nights. The Cubs' depth at second base further limits his ceiling, often relegating him to late-game defensive substitutions or spot starts against favorable matchups. While regression toward league norms is always possible, Mastrobuoni's limited role and skill set suggest this under trend has staying power. The key risk lies in potential lineup changes or injuries that could increase his playing time, but his current usage pattern strongly favors continued under results.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Mastrobuoni's systematic underperformance stems from role limitations rather than temporary slump, making this trend sustainable short-term. Target unders when lines exceed 1.5 total bases, particularly in games where he's not starting or facing quality pitching. The primary risk is increased opportunity due to injuries, but his current usage pattern and skill set strongly favor continued under results in similar situations.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare Miles Mastrobuoni props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Miles Mastrobuoni's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Mastrobuoni went 2-8-0 over/under on Total Bases props in his last 10 games, hitting just 20.0% overs. He's currently riding an 8-game under streak, with his longest over streak being just 2 games during this sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Miles Mastrobuoni Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet under on Mastrobuoni's Total Bases props. His 1.0 average sits 1.4 bases below typical lines, generating +52.7% ROI on unders. The 8-game streak reflects role limitations, not temporary variance that's likely to reverse.
What's Miles Mastrobuoni's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Mastrobuoni averaged exactly 1.0 total bases over his last 10 games, falling 1.4 bases short of his typical 2.4 line. This massive deficit reflects consistent underperformance rather than a few outlier games dragging down his average.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mastrobuoni Total Bases unders when lines exceed 1.5 bases, especially in games where he's not starting or facing quality pitching. His utility role and contact-first approach make inflated lines particularly vulnerable to under results.