Michael Siani has delivered a perfect 0-10 under record on total bases props over his last 10 games, averaging just 0.5 total bases against a 3.4 line. This represents a catastrophic -2.9 differential that suggests either severe overvaluation by oddsmakers or a player in complete offensive collapse.
Expert Analysis
Siani's total bases performance represents one of the most extreme underperformances you'll see in modern baseball analytics. Averaging 0.5 total bases per game indicates Siani is barely reaching base, let alone collecting extra-base hits. The 3.4 line suggests oddsmakers are pricing him as a competent major league hitter, but the reality shows a player who's either battling injury, facing a severe mechanical breakdown, or simply overmatched at this level. The consistency of this underperformance—10 straight games without a single over—points to systematic issues rather than random variance. When a player fails to reach even half their projected total bases for an extended stretch, it typically signals either a significant injury playing through, a fundamental swing flaw that hasn't been corrected, or facing pitcher usage patterns that completely neutralize their offensive approach. The -100% ROI on overs tells the complete story: there has been zero profitable opportunity on the over side. This level of consistent underperformance in total bases often persists until either the underlying issue is addressed or the player is removed from regular playing time.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. While the 0-10 record is compelling, the extreme nature raises concerns about line adjustment and sample sustainability. The ideal conditions would be continued regular playing time with similar pitcher matchups. Main risk is oddsmakers finally correcting this massive overvaluation, potentially dropping the line below profitable under territory.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Michael Siani's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Siani has gone 0-10 on total bases overs in his last 10 games, averaging 0.5 total bases against a 3.4 line for a perfect under record with -2.9 average differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Michael Siani Total Bases last 10 games?
Lean under on Siani's total bases props. The 0-10 record and 90.9% under ROI suggest systematic underperformance, though the extreme nature warrants caution about potential line corrections.
What's Michael Siani's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Siani has averaged 0.5 total bases over his last 10 games compared to the 3.4 line, creating a massive -2.9 differential that indicates severe offensive struggles.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Siani total bases unders when he maintains regular playing time and faces similar competition level. Avoid if the line drops significantly below 2.0 or if underlying issues appear resolved.