Michael King has delivered exceptional strikeout value over his last 10 outings, hitting the over in 70% of games while averaging 6.6 strikeouts against a 6.0 line. The +0.6 differential and robust 33.6% ROI on overs signals sustainable upside in his strikeout props.
Expert Analysis
King's 70% over rate reflects a pitcher who has found his groove in the strikeout department, consistently exceeding market expectations by a meaningful 0.6 strikeouts per game. This isn't marginal beating of lines—it's systematic outperformance that suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his current form. The 33.6% ROI on overs demonstrates real betting value, while the crushing -42.7% under ROI shows how costly it's been to fade his strikeout upside. King's ability to sustain this pace likely stems from improved command and a more aggressive approach in favorable counts. The recent two-game under streak might actually present enhanced value if books are overreacting to short-term variance. However, the lack of split data creates some uncertainty about his performance against specific opponent types or in different game situations. The key concern is whether this represents a legitimate skill improvement or simply a hot streak that will regress. Given his four-game over streak earlier in this sample, King appears capable of sustained excellence when locked in.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. King's 70% over rate and +0.6 differential indicate genuine strikeout upside that the market hasn't fully priced in. The recent two-game under streak may have created line value if books are overadjusting. Target overs when King faces lineups with higher strikeout rates or in pitcher-friendly conditions. Main risk is natural regression to his career norms if this represents peak performance rather than sustainable improvement.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-19 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 7.5 | 10.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-04 | OPP | 5.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-23 | OPP | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-18 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Michael King's Strikeouts prop record last 10 games?
King has gone over his strikeout line in 7 of his last 10 games (70% rate) with a 7-3-0 record. He's averaging 6.6 strikeouts against a typical 6.0 line, creating a +0.6 differential that has generated strong betting value for over backers.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Michael King Strikeouts last 10 games?
Lean over on King's strikeout props based on his 70% over rate and +0.6 differential. The recent two-game under streak may have created enhanced value if books are overreacting. Target spots where he faces strikeout-prone lineups for maximum edge.
What's Michael King's average Strikeouts last 10 games?
King is averaging 6.6 strikeouts over his last 10 games compared to a typical 6.0 line. This +0.6 differential represents meaningful outperformance and suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his current strikeout rate and effectiveness.
How reliable is this trend?
Target King strikeout overs when he faces lineups with high strikeout rates or in pitcher-friendly conditions. The recent under streak may have created enhanced line value. Avoid when facing patient, contact-heavy lineups that could limit his strikeout opportunities.