Max Schuemann's Total Bases prop in away games presents one of the season's most reliable under trends, hitting just 15.0% over rate across 20 games with a devastating -1.4 differential versus the typical 2.35 line. Currently riding a seven-game under streak, this represents a strong lean under opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Schuemann's away Total Bases struggles stem from a perfect storm of offensive limitations and environmental factors. His 1.0 average versus the 2.35 line reveals a fundamental disconnect between market expectations and his actual road production capabilities. The 15.0% over rate isn't just poor—it's historically bad for a regular starter, suggesting systematic issues rather than random variance. The seven-game under streak indicates recent form aligning with season-long trends, while the complete absence of any over streak longer than one game demonstrates remarkable consistency in underperformance. Road environments typically suppress offensive numbers for younger players like Schuemann, who may struggle with unfamiliar ballparks, crowd noise, and travel fatigue. His profile suggests a contact-oriented approach that doesn't translate to extra-base power on the road, where pitcher advantages are often amplified. The -71.4% ROI on overs versus +62.3% on unders creates a massive expected value gap. With no meaningful positive splits to counterbalance this trend, Schuemann's road Total Bases props represent one of the season's most exploitable inefficiencies. The market appears slow to adjust to his consistent underperformance away from Oakland.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Schuemann's 15.0% over rate and -1.4 differential create substantial value on under bets, particularly with his current seven-game streak reinforcing the season-long pattern. The ideal spot targets lines at 2.0 or higher in unfavorable pitcher matchups. Main risk involves potential lineup changes or reduced playing time affecting sample reliability, but the trend's consistency suggests continued profitability.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-19 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Schuemann's Total Bases prop record away games?
Schuemann is 3-17-0 over/under on Total Bases props in away games, hitting just 15.0% overs with an average of 1.0 versus the typical 2.35 line, creating a massive -1.4 differential that strongly favors under bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Schuemann Total Bases away games?
Bet under on Schuemann's Total Bases in away games. His 15.0% over rate and -1.4 differential create substantial value, especially with the current seven-game under streak reinforcing the season-long trend of road offensive struggles.
What's Max Schuemann's average Total Bases away games?
Schuemann averages 1.0 Total Bases in away games compared to the typical 2.35 line, creating a significant -1.4 differential. This massive gap indicates consistent underperformance that the market hasn't fully adjusted to price.
How reliable is this trend?
Target away games with lines at 2.0 or higher, particularly against quality pitching where his contact-oriented approach faces additional challenges. Avoid games with potential lineup changes or when he's showing signs of reduced playing time.