Max Schuemann's total bases prop presents one of the season's most lopsided trends, going under in 84.2% of games with a devastating 1.5-base average deficit. The Athletics shortstop has managed just 6 overs in 38 games while delivering exceptional under ROI of 60.8%. This is a clear systematic under play.
Expert Analysis
Schuemann's total bases performance represents a textbook case of market inefficiency, where his 0.95 average sits a staggering 61.2% below the typical 2.45 line. This isn't variance—it's systematic underperformance driven by his role as a contact-oriented utility player in Oakland's struggling offense. The Athletics ranked among baseball's worst offensive teams in 2024, creating an environment where even everyday players struggled to accumulate bases consistently. Schuemann's approach favors singles and walks over extra-base hits, evident in his microscopic slugging percentage that makes reaching multi-base totals an uphill battle. The current eight-game under streak isn't an anomaly but rather the natural state for a player whose skillset doesn't align with total bases betting markets. His longest over streak peaked at just one game, highlighting the consistency of this underperformance. Books appear slow to adjust lines adequately for players in Schuemann's profile—contact hitters on weak offenses who rarely slug. The 69.9% over ROI loss demonstrates how brutally one-sided this market has become. Regression seems unlikely given that Schuemann's underlying metrics support continued base-accumulation struggles rather than suggesting positive variance.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Schuemann's 15.8% over rate combined with his systematic 1.5-base deficit creates one of the season's most reliable under plays. The ideal conditions are simply any game where his total bases line appears, as his contact-heavy approach and Oakland's offensive struggles make multi-base games rare events. The primary risk is potential line adjustment, though books have been slow to react to this obvious market inefficiency.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-22 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
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Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Schuemann's Total Bases prop record all games?
Max Schuemann's total bases record shows 6 overs and 32 unders across 38 games, producing a dismal 15.8% over rate. His average of 0.95 total bases sits 1.5 bases below typical market lines of 2.45.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Schuemann Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Max Schuemann's total bases props with high confidence. His 84.2% under rate and 60.8% under ROI make this one of the season's most reliable betting edges in player props.
What's Max Schuemann's average Total Bases all games?
Max Schuemann averages 0.95 total bases per game, which sits 61.2% below the typical 2.45 market line. This massive 1.5-base deficit creates systematic value on under bets across all game situations.
How reliable is this trend?
Any game presents optimal conditions for Schuemann total bases unders given his consistent underperformance. His contact-heavy approach and Oakland's weak offense make the under play viable regardless of opponent or venue.