Max Schuemann presents one of the most reliable under opportunities in baseball, going 0-20 on home run overs in away games with a perfect 0.0% over rate. His 0.0 home run average sits 0.55 runs below the typical line, creating exceptional under value. This is a high-confidence under play.
Expert Analysis
Max Schuemann's road home run futility represents a statistical anomaly that transcends typical small sample concerns. Across 20 away games spanning nearly four months, Schuemann has failed to clear any home run total, averaging exactly zero while books consistently set lines around 0.5. This isn't merely bad luck—it reflects fundamental limitations in his power profile that become magnified away from Oakland's pitcher-friendly Coliseum. Road environments typically suppress offensive numbers for contact-oriented players like Schuemann, who relies on bat-to-ball skills rather than raw power. The consistency of this trend across different ballparks, pitching matchups, and game situations suggests systemic factors rather than random variance. While regression toward league norms always looms, Schuemann's underlying metrics show no indication of latent power waiting to emerge. His swing path, exit velocity data, and spray chart patterns all align with a player whose ceiling remains well below home run production. The 20-game sample size, while not enormous, carries significant weight given the binary nature of home run props and the consistency across varied conditions.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Schuemann's perfect 0-20 under record in away games reflects genuine skill limitations rather than temporary variance. The -0.55 differential between his average and typical lines creates substantial value on unders. Target this play particularly in pitcher-friendly ballparks or against quality opposing pitching, where his already minimal power becomes further suppressed.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Schuemann's Home Runs prop record away games?
Max Schuemann is 0-20 on home run overs in away games, posting a perfect 0.0% over rate with zero home runs across 20 road contests from April through August 2024.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Schuemann Home Runs away games?
Bet the under with high confidence. Schuemann's 0-20 road record reflects genuine power limitations, not bad luck. The consistent -0.55 differential below typical lines offers exceptional under value.
What's Max Schuemann's average Home Runs away games?
Schuemann averages exactly 0.0 home runs per away game, sitting 0.55 runs below the typical 0.5 line. This massive differential creates one of baseball's most reliable under opportunities.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schuemann home run unders in any away game, particularly in pitcher-friendly ballparks or against quality starters. His perfect 0-20 record suggests consistent value regardless of specific matchup conditions.