Max Schuemann's home hitting props present a sharp under opportunity with a brutal 26.3% over rate across 19 games. The Oakland shortstop averages just 0.58 hits against a 1.34 line, creating a massive -0.8 differential. This is a strong lean under with high conviction.
Expert Analysis
Schuemann's home hitting struggles reveal a player fundamentally overvalued by oddsmakers at the Coliseum. The 0.58 hits per game average represents a player operating well below replacement level offensive production, yet books consistently set his line near 1.34 hits. This 56% gap between performance and expectation suggests either persistent book mispricing or underlying factors making Oakland's home environment particularly challenging for Schuemann. The current four-game under streak extends a pattern of consistent underperformance, with his longest over streak reaching just two games compared to a seven-game under run. At 26.3% overs, we're looking at a player who fails to reach his number in nearly three-quarters of home appearances. The -49.8% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors consistently overestimating Schuemann's offensive capabilities in familiar surroundings. Without significant lineup changes or mechanical adjustments, this trend appears sustainable given the sample size and consistency of underperformance. The Coliseum's pitcher-friendly dimensions and Schuemann's apparent home field disadvantage create a perfect storm for continued under value.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Schuemann's home hitting props offer exceptional under value with a 73.7% hit rate and +40.7% ROI. The 0.76-hit gap between his average and typical lines creates consistent profit opportunities. Target this prop when lines exceed 1.0 hits, particularly against quality pitching. Main risk involves potential lineup changes or extended hot streaks, but the sample size and consistency support continued under betting.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Schuemann's Hits prop record home games?
Schuemann goes 5-14-0 over/under on hits props in home games, hitting just 26.3% of overs. His 14 unders in 19 games represent a 73.7% success rate for under bettors with strong +40.7% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Schuemann Hits home games?
Bet under on Schuemann's hits props at home games. The data strongly supports under betting with 73.7% success rate and significant line value. This represents one of the sharper home trends available.
What's Max Schuemann's average Hits home games?
Schuemann averages 0.58 hits per home game against typical lines around 1.34 hits. This creates a massive -0.76 differential, meaning he underperforms expectations by more than three-quarters of a hit per game.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schuemann under bets when lines exceed 1.0 hits at home, especially against above-average pitching. The Coliseum's pitcher-friendly environment amplifies his struggles, making higher lines particularly valuable for under betting.