Overall Hits: 39-65-0 O/U
37.5%
Over Rate
0.91
Avg H
1.38
Avg Line
-0.5
Avg vs Line
-28.4%
Over ROI
104
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Hits Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Hits Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 39-65 | 37.5% | 1.38 | 0.91 | -28.4% |
| Away Games | 17-30 | 36.2% | 1.39 | 0.96 | -30.9% |
| High Total Games | 3-8 | 27.3% | 1.5 | 0.82 | -47.9% |
| Home Games | 22-35 | 38.6% | 1.36 | 0.88 | -26.3% |
| Last 10 Games | 3-7 | 30.0% | 1.5 | 0.7 | -42.7% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
38.6% Over
Away
36.2% Over
By Line Range
Line < -0.5
—% Over
Line > 3.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
30.0% Over
Other Matt Chapman Props
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View ATS records and betting trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Matt Chapman's overall Hits prop record?
Matt Chapman is 39-65 O/U on Hits props across all situations (37.5% over rate).
When does Matt Chapman go OVER on Hits the most?
Matt Chapman's best Hits situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 38.6% of the time.
What's Matt Chapman's average Hits per game?
Matt Chapman averages 0.91 H per game vs an average line of 1.38.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
High Total Games is Matt Chapman's worst Hits situation at just 27.3% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 104 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.