Lawrence Butler's Total Bases prop presents a clear under opportunity in away games, hitting just 37.5% overs across 16 road contests. His 1.81 average falls 0.13 bases short of typical 1.94 lines, generating strong +19.3% ROI on unders. The data strongly favors betting Butler's Total Bases under on the road.
Expert Analysis
Butler's away struggles stem from the classic young hitter's road adjustment period that many prospects face. His 1.81 Total Bases average away from home represents a meaningful 6.7% decline from standard pricing, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his road splits. The 37.5% over rate across 16 games provides robust sample size evidence of a persistent pattern rather than random variance. Butler's current four-game under streak aligns with his broader road tendencies, where he's managed just six overs in 16 attempts. The -0.13 differential between his performance and typical lines creates consistent value for under bettors. Road environments typically challenge young players through unfamiliar ballparks, hostile crowds, and disrupted routines. Butler's profile fits this pattern perfectly, as developing hitters often show pronounced home/road splits before maturing. The +19.3% ROI on unders demonstrates the market's slow recognition of this trend. With no significant injuries or mechanical changes noted, Butler's road struggles appear systematic rather than circumstantial, making this a sustainable edge for sharp bettors willing to fade the young outfielder away from Oakland.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Butler's 37.5% over rate and -0.13 line differential create consistent value betting his Total Bases under in road games. The trend appears sustainable given typical young hitter development patterns and road adjustment challenges. Primary risk involves potential breakout performance as Butler matures, but current data supports continued road struggles making unders the smart play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 4.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-08-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Lawrence Butler's Total Bases prop record away games?
Butler's Total Bases record in away games stands at 6-10-0 over/under, hitting just 37.5% overs across 16 road contests. His average of 1.81 Total Bases falls consistently short of typical 1.94 lines, creating a -0.13 differential that favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Lawrence Butler Total Bases away games?
Bet under on Butler's Total Bases in away games. His 37.5% over rate and +19.3% ROI on unders create clear value. The young outfielder consistently underperforms road pricing, averaging 1.81 versus 1.94 lines, making unders the profitable long-term play.
What's Lawrence Butler's average Total Bases away games?
Butler averages 1.81 Total Bases in away games, falling 0.13 bases short of typical 1.94 lines. This 6.7% underperformance versus market pricing has generated consistent value for under bettors, with his road average proving reliable across 16 game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Butler's Total Bases unders specifically in road games where he shows clear struggles. Avoid when lines drop significantly below 1.8 or during potential breakout spots. Best opportunities come on standard 1.9+ lines where his 1.81 road average creates maximum value differential.