The under has been the play for LaMelo Thomas on Hits props all games. In 343 games, he's gone OVER just 25.3% of the time, averaging 0.79 against a 1.19 line. That's -0.4 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 75-221-47 O/U

25.3% Over Rate
0.79 Avg H
1.19 Avg Line
-0.4 Avg vs Line
-51.6% Over ROI
343 Games
OVER 25.3%
UNDER 74.7%
🚫 Verdict: Smash the Under

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 29.7% Over (43-102)
Away 21.2% Over (32-119)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 1.0 36.2% Over
Line > 1.0 12.5% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 25.0% Over (1-3)
Last 10 11.1% Over (1-8)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📉 The Data Says: UNDER on LaMelo Thomas Hits

The UNDER has returned +42.5% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is LaMelo Thomas's Hits prop record all games?

LaMelo Thomas has gone OVER on hits props in 75 of 343 games (25.3%) all games. The full O/U record is 75-221-47.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on LaMelo Thomas Hits?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -51.6% ROI while the UNDER has returned +42.5% ROI in this spot.

What's LaMelo Thomas's average Hits all games?

LaMelo Thomas averages 0.79 hits all games, compared to an average prop line of 1.19. That's a differential of -0.4 vs the number.

How reliable is this Hits trend for LaMelo Thomas?

This trend is based on 343 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-03-06 to 2024-10-30.

Methodology

This analysis covers 343 games from 2020-03-06 to 2024-10-30. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026