Kyle Bradish has delivered exceptional strikeout value over his last 10 outings, hitting the over in 8 of 10 games (80%) while averaging 7.4 strikeouts against a 5.6 line. This +1.8 differential represents a significant edge that warrants continued backing on overs.
Expert Analysis
Bradish's strikeout dominance stems from his elite four-seam fastball and devastating slider combination that has consistently overwhelmed opposing hitters. The 7.4 strikeout average against a 5.6 line reveals books are still undervaluing his punch-out ability, creating a persistent market inefficiency. His 80% over rate across this sample isn't fluky—it reflects genuine skill improvements in command and sequencing that allow him to attack the zone more aggressively. The +52.7% ROI on overs demonstrates this isn't just a hot streak but a sustainable edge. Bradish's ability to work deeper into games while maintaining strikeout stuff gives him multiple paths to value, whether through volume or efficiency. The lack of recent unders (just one in his last appearance) suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his elevated strikeout floor. While regression is always possible with any hot streak, Bradish's underlying metrics support continued over production. His slider usage and whiff rates have remained consistently high, indicating the skills driving these results aren't deteriorating. The primary risk lies in potential workload management as the season progresses, but his current form suggests the over trend has more runway.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Bradish's 80% over rate and +1.8 average differential create compelling value on strikeout overs. The market appears slow to adjust to his improved command and stuff, particularly his slider effectiveness. Target overs when he faces lineups with higher strikeout rates or when the line remains at 5.5 or below. Main risk is potential innings restrictions affecting volume.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-08 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-26 | OPP | 5.5 | 11.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-08 | OPP | 4.5 | 9.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-26 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-20 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-02 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-08-26 | OPP | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-08-20 | OPP | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyle Bradish's Strikeouts prop record last 10 games?
Bradish has hit the over in 8 of his last 10 games (80% success rate) with a remarkable +52.7% ROI on overs. He's averaging 7.4 strikeouts against a typical 5.6 line, creating a significant +1.8 differential per start.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyle Bradish Strikeouts last 10 games?
Bet the over on Bradish's strikeout props. His 80% over rate and +1.8 average differential above the line represent genuine value. The market hasn't fully adjusted to his improved command and slider effectiveness.
What's Kyle Bradish's average Strikeouts last 10 games?
Bradish is averaging 7.4 strikeouts over his last 10 games compared to the typical 5.6 line. This +1.8 differential demonstrates he's consistently exceeding market expectations by nearly two full strikeouts per outing.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Bradish strikeout overs when facing high-strikeout lineups or when the line stays at 5.5 or below. His four-seam fastball and slider combination work best against aggressive hitters who chase out of the zone.