Kris Bryant's hits prop in away games presents a compelling under opportunity, going over just 28.6% of the time across 21 games with a brutal -0.3 differential between his average and typical lines. The under has delivered +36.4% ROI while overs hemorrhage at -45.5%, making this a clear lean under situation.
Expert Analysis
Bryant's road struggles create a systematic edge that books haven't fully adjusted for. His 0.67 hits per away game average sits significantly below the standard 0.98 line, suggesting oddsmakers are pricing his overall reputation rather than his specific road performance. This 0.31-hit gap represents meaningful value, especially when considering the consistency of the trend. The current four-game under streak extends what has been a persistent pattern, with Bryant's longest over streak reaching just two games compared to a five-game under run. Road environments typically challenge hitters through unfamiliar ballparks, hostile crowds, and disrupted routines, factors that seem to disproportionately affect Bryant. The 28.6% over rate indicates this isn't random variance but a sustainable edge rooted in his road performance profile. While regression is always possible, the sample size of 21 games provides sufficient data to identify a meaningful pattern, particularly given the consistency of the underperformance.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Bryant's road hit props offer systematic value with his 0.67 average sitting well below typical 0.98 lines. The 28.6% over rate and +36.4% under ROI demonstrate consistent edge, though the moderate confidence reflects potential for positive regression. Target this trend when Bryant faces quality road pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks to maximize the edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-07-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-05-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Hits Prop Lines
Compare Kris Bryant props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Bryant's Hits prop record away games?
Bryant's hits prop record in away games shows 6 overs, 15 unders, and 0 pushes across 21 games, translating to just a 28.6% over rate. This represents one of the more lopsided trends in baseball props this season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Bryant Hits away games?
Bet under on Bryant's hits in away games. The data strongly supports this with a 28.6% over rate and +36.4% under ROI. His 0.67 road average consistently falls short of typical 0.98 lines, creating systematic value.
What's Kris Bryant's average Hits away games?
Bryant averages 0.67 hits per away game, significantly below the typical 0.98 line. This -0.31 differential represents substantial value, as books appear to price his overall reputation rather than his specific road struggles.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Bryant's hits unders when he faces quality road pitching or plays in pitcher-friendly ballparks. The edge is strongest in challenging road environments where his documented struggles are most likely to manifest consistently.