Kris Bryant's hitting props present a clear under opportunity with just 30.0% overs across 40 games and a massive -0.5 differential below the typical 1.18 line. Currently riding a five-game under streak with the longest under stretch hitting six games, this trend shows remarkable consistency for profitable fade opportunities.
Expert Analysis
Bryant's hitting struggles at Coors Field represent one of baseball's most counterintuitive prop trends. Despite playing half his games in the most hitter-friendly park in baseball, Bryant manages just 0.72 hits per game against lines consistently set around 1.18. This 39% shortfall suggests books haven't fully adjusted for his diminished contact ability and increased strikeout rate since joining Colorado. The veteran first baseman's approach has become increasingly pull-heavy and swing-and-miss oriented, particularly problematic against quality pitching that can exploit his enlarged strike zone. His current five-game under streak aligns with season-long patterns showing he rarely strings together multiple strong hitting performances. The -42.7% over ROI versus +33.6% under ROI creates a substantial edge, especially considering this sample spans over a full season of data. Bryant's age-related decline in bat-to-ball skills appears permanent rather than a temporary slump, making this trend likely to persist. The consistency of his underperformance across various game situations suggests books remain slow to adjust their lines downward, creating ongoing value for under bettors.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Bryant's 0.72 hits per game against 1.18 lines creates consistent value despite playing at Coors Field. The five-game under streak and 70% under rate indicate this isn't variance but genuine decline in contact ability. Primary risk comes from potential lineup protection improvements or facing weaker pitching staffs, but his swing-and-miss issues appear structural rather than situational.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Bryant's Hits prop record all games?
Bryant's hits prop record shows 12 overs and 28 unders across 40 games, translating to a 30.0% over rate. This represents one of the most consistent under trends in baseball, with nearly three unders for every over result.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Bryant Hits all games?
Bet under on Bryant's hits props. His 0.72 average against 1.18 lines creates a 0.46 edge, supported by a 70% under rate and +33.6% ROI. The trend shows remarkable consistency across various game situations.
What's Kris Bryant's average Hits all games?
Bryant averages 0.72 hits per game against typical lines of 1.18, creating a substantial -0.46 differential. This 39% shortfall below the betting line represents one of the largest gaps between performance and market expectations in baseball props.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Bryant under hits consistently regardless of matchup, as his 70% under rate shows little situational variance. The trend works best when lines remain at 1.5, but even 1.0 lines offer value given his contact issues.