Josh Jung's total bases production has cratered over his last 10 games, hitting the over just twice while averaging 1.4 bases against typical 2.6 lines. The under has delivered a robust 52.7% ROI with Jung consistently falling short of market expectations. This represents a clear fade opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Jung's total bases collapse reflects a Rangers hitter struggling with both contact quality and opportunity. Averaging just 1.4 total bases per game against lines typically set around 2.6 creates a massive 1.2-base deficit that speaks to fundamental offensive issues rather than mere variance. The 20% over rate across 10 games suggests Jung is either dealing with an underlying injury, mechanical issues, or facing a particularly challenging stretch of opposing pitching. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency—Jung endured a six-game under streak, indicating this isn't random cold shooting but a sustained period of diminished production. The Rangers' offensive environment and Jung's third base position typically support higher base totals, making his recent struggles even more pronounced. While regression toward career norms is always possible, the depth and duration of this downturn suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to Jung's current form. The 52.7% ROI on unders demonstrates clear line value, as books appear slow to recognize the severity of Jung's production decline.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Jung's 1.2-base average deficit against typical lines represents exploitable market inefficiency, particularly given the sustained nature of his struggles over 10 games. Target unders when lines remain elevated above 2.0 total bases. Primary risk is immediate regression if Jung's issues were injury-related and he's now healthy, but the consistency of poor production suggests continued value on the under side.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Josh Jung's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Jung has gone 2-8-0 over/under on total bases props in his last 10 games, hitting just 20% of overs. He's averaging only 1.4 total bases per game, significantly below the typical 2.6 line, creating a substantial 1.2-base daily deficit.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Josh Jung Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet under on Jung's total bases props. His 52.7% ROI on unders over 10 games combined with consistent production below market expectations creates clear value. The trend shows sustainability given the six-game under streak and persistent struggles.
What's Josh Jung's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Jung is averaging 1.4 total bases over his last 10 games, compared to typical lines around 2.6. This 1.2-base deficit per game represents a significant gap between his current production and market expectations, favoring under bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jung total bases unders when lines remain at 2.0 or higher, particularly in day games or against quality pitching. Avoid when lines drop below 1.5 as the market may have overcorrected to his recent struggles.