Jorge Soler's Total Bases props have been a goldmine for under bettors over his last 10 games, hitting just 40% of overs while averaging 2.3 total bases against a typical 3.5 line. The 14.6% ROI on unders and current three-game under streak signal a clear lean under.
Expert Analysis
Jorge Soler's Total Bases struggles over this 10-game sample reflect a concerning pattern that extends beyond simple variance. Averaging 2.3 total bases against typical 3.5 lines creates a massive 1.2 differential that suggests either the market hasn't adjusted to Soler's current form or underlying factors are suppressing his production. The 60% under rate with a 14.6% ROI demonstrates consistent value on the under side. Soler's three-game under streak matches his longest over streak from earlier in the sample, indicating volatility rather than sustained hot or cold periods. Without specific split data, we must rely on the raw production numbers, which paint a picture of a player consistently falling short of market expectations. The fact that his longest over and under streaks are identical at three games suggests the market may be overvaluing his ceiling while underestimating how often he fails to reach even modest totals. This pattern becomes particularly valuable when books continue setting lines in the 3.5 range, as Soler has demonstrated an inability to consistently reach that threshold.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Jorge Soler's 1.2 average shortfall against typical lines creates sustainable value on the under side, particularly when lines sit at 3.5 or higher. The 14.6% under ROI over 10 games indicates market inefficiency that sharp bettors can exploit. Primary risk is positive regression to his career norms, but current form suggests continued struggles reaching inflated totals.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jorge Soler's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Jorge Soler has gone over his Total Bases prop just 4 times in his last 10 games (40% rate) while going under 6 times. This 4-6-0 record shows a clear pattern favoring the under side of his props.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jorge Soler Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet under on Jorge Soler's Total Bases props. His 2.3 average against typical 3.5 lines creates a 1.2 shortfall, while under bets have generated 14.6% ROI compared to -23.6% losses on overs over this 10-game stretch.
What's Jorge Soler's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Jorge Soler has averaged 2.3 total bases over his last 10 games, falling 1.2 bases short of the typical 3.5 line. This significant differential explains why under bets have been profitable at a 14.6% ROI rate.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jorge Soler Total Bases unders when lines are set at 3.5 or higher, as his 2.3 average creates maximum value. His current form shows consistent struggles reaching even modest totals, making elevated lines particularly attractive for under bettors.