Jorge Soler's hits props have cratered over his last 10 games, going 2-8 O/U with a devastating 61.8% ROI loss on overs. Averaging just 1.2 hits against a 2.1 line creates a massive 0.9 differential. The under presents compelling value with strong momentum.
Expert Analysis
Jorge Soler's hitting collapse over this 10-game stretch represents one of the most dramatic prop betting opportunities in recent memory. His 1.2 hits per game average sits nearly a full hit below the typical 2.1 line, creating an enormous gap that sportsbooks have been slow to adjust. The current six-game under streak indicates this isn't random variance but a fundamental shift in Soler's offensive production. His power-first approach often leads to feast-or-famine stretches, and he's clearly in a prolonged famine period. The 20% over rate suggests books are still pricing him based on season-long numbers rather than recent form. Late-season fatigue and potential lineup changes as Atlanta evaluates younger players could be contributing factors. While regression toward his career norms is inevitable long-term, the severity of this downturn and the consistency of the under results suggest the trend has staying power in the immediate term. The 52.7% ROI on unders demonstrates the market inefficiency, though bettors should monitor for any signs of offensive awakening or lineup protection changes.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Soler's massive production gap and six-game under streak create compelling short-term value despite inevitable regression concerns. Target unders when lines remain above 1.5, especially in day games or against quality pitching where his swing-for-the-fences approach struggles most. Main risk is a sudden hot streak erasing weeks of profits in just 2-3 games.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jorge Soler's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Jorge Soler has gone 2-8 O/U on his hits props over his last 10 games, hitting just 20% of overs. He's averaging 1.2 hits per game against lines typically set around 2.1, creating nearly a full hit deficit.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jorge Soler Hits last 10 games?
Bet under on Jorge Soler's hits props while this trend persists. His six-game under streak and massive production gap suggest continued value on unders, especially when lines remain above 1.5 hits.
What's Jorge Soler's average Hits last 10 games?
Jorge Soler is averaging just 1.2 hits over his last 10 games compared to typical lines around 2.1. This 0.9 differential represents one of the largest gaps between production and market expectations currently available.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jorge Soler hits unders in day games and against quality starting pitching when his aggressive approach typically struggles most. Avoid when he faces weak bullpens or in hitter-friendly conditions that could spark a breakout.