Jonathan India's hits prop in away games presents a compelling under opportunity, with just 18 overs in 54 games (33.3%) and an average of 0.96 hits against a typical 1.39 line. The current 8-game under streak reinforces this road weakness. Lean Under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Jonathan India's road hitting struggles create a systematic betting edge that goes beyond normal variance. His 0.96 hits per away game average sits 0.43 hits below the standard line, representing a 31% gap that's too large for books to fully adjust. The 33.3% over rate across 54 games indicates this isn't a small sample fluke but a persistent pattern rooted in India's approach. Road environments consistently disrupt his timing and plate discipline, as evidenced by the current 8-game under streak that matches his season-long trend. The -36.4% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors consistently overvaluing India's road hitting based on his home performance. This creates a market inefficiency where books set lines closer to his overall numbers rather than properly weighting his road struggles. The 27.3% under ROI demonstrates the profitability of fading India away from Cincinnati. Most concerning for over bettors is the consistency of this underperformance - India doesn't show the typical hot streaks that bail out hitting props. His road approach becomes more passive, leading to fewer aggressive swings and more dependent on pitcher mistakes that don't come frequently enough to reach the inflated lines.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. India's road hitting deficiency is too pronounced to ignore, with his 0.96 average creating substantial line value. Target games where the line sits at 1.5 hits for maximum edge. The main risk is a potential breakout series, but his 8-game under streak suggests this pattern remains intact heading into the season's final stretch.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jonathan India's Hits prop record away games?
Jonathan India has gone over his hits prop just 18 times in 54 road games (33.3% rate) with an 18-36-0 record. His road struggles have been remarkably consistent throughout this sample period spanning over a year.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jonathan India Hits away games?
Bet under on Jonathan India's hits props in away games. His 0.96 road average creates significant value against typical 1.39 lines, supported by strong 27.3% under ROI and current 8-game under streak.
What's Jonathan India's average Hits away games?
Jonathan India averages 0.96 hits per away game, which sits 0.43 hits below the typical 1.39 line. This 31% gap represents substantial value for under bettors in road matchups.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jonathan India hits unders when the line is set at 1.5 hits in away games for maximum value. Road day games often provide additional edge as his timing struggles become more pronounced.