Joey Bart has delivered a perfect 0-10 under record on his home run props over the last 10 games, failing to clear the 0.5 line in every single outing. This represents a complete absence of power production, generating +90.9% ROI for under bettors. The trend strongly favors continuing to fade Bart's home run potential.
Expert Analysis
Joey Bart's complete power drought over his last 10 games reflects a fundamental shift in his offensive profile that extends beyond typical slump territory. The Pittsburgh catcher has managed zero home runs across 10 consecutive games, creating a perfect under record that suggests either mechanical issues or a more conservative approach at the plate. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency—there's been no variance whatsoever, no games where Bart even came close to clearing the modest 0.5 home run line. This level of power suppression typically indicates either nagging injury concerns, a dramatic change in launch angle approach, or simple regression from what was already limited power production. The Pirates' offensive environment during this stretch likely contributed, as team-wide power numbers often correlate with individual production. Bart's role as a defensive-first catcher may have also influenced his approach, prioritizing contact over power in crucial late-season games. The complete absence of even accidental home runs suggests this isn't just bad luck—it's a fundamental inability to generate the exit velocity and launch angle combination necessary for clearing fences. This type of extended power drought at the major league level often persists until mechanical adjustments are made or the player finds better pitch recognition patterns.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Joey Bart's complete power shutdown over 10 games creates an exceptionally strong under trend that shows no signs of immediate reversal. The 0.5 home run line remains generous given his current offensive profile, and the consistency of this drought suggests underlying mechanical or approach issues that won't resolve overnight. Target this prop when the line stays at 0.5, as even a bump to 1.5 would make the under less attractive despite the trend.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Joey Bart's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
Joey Bart has gone 0-10 on home run overs in his last 10 games, hitting zero home runs total while the line was set at 0.5. This perfect under record generated -100% ROI for over bettors and +90.9% for under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Joey Bart Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER on Joey Bart's home run props with high confidence. His complete power drought over 10 games shows no signs of reversal, and the 0.5 line remains too generous given his current offensive struggles and defensive-focused role.
What's Joey Bart's average Home Runs last 10 games?
Joey Bart has averaged 0.0 home runs over his last 10 games compared to the 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This represents a complete absence of power production, making the under a consistent winner throughout this stretch.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Joey Bart's home run under when the line stays at 0.5 and he's facing quality pitching or pitching in pitcher-friendly environments. His current power drought makes the under valuable in most situations, especially late-season games where contact matters more.