James Outman's total bases prop has been historically reliable for under bettors, going 9-1 under in his last 10 games with just a 10% over rate. Averaging only 0.4 total bases against a 1.8 line represents a massive -1.4 differential. This is a clear LEAN UNDER situation.
Expert Analysis
James Outman's total bases performance reveals a player in serious offensive decline, averaging just 0.4 total bases per game against typical lines around 1.8. This 77.8% shortfall suggests fundamental issues with his approach or role that extend beyond normal variance. The 9-1 under record over 10 games, including a six-game under streak, indicates systematic underperformance rather than temporary struggles. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency—Outman hasn't just been slightly missing the number, he's been dramatically falling short. The +71.8% ROI on unders demonstrates how the betting market has been slow to adjust to his diminished production. While regression toward league averages is always possible, the depth of this struggle suggests potential mechanical issues, reduced playing time, or a fundamental shift in his offensive capabilities. The fact that he's managed just one over in 10 games shows this isn't about a few unlucky at-bats but rather a sustained period of ineffectiveness. Until we see clear signs of adjustment from either Outman or the oddsmakers, this under trend appears likely to continue.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Outman's 0.4 total bases average against 1.8 lines creates substantial value on unders, supported by a dominant 9-1 record and impressive +71.8% ROI. The consistency of his struggles suggests this isn't mere variance but a fundamental offensive issue. Primary risk is potential lineup changes or mechanical adjustments that could spark improvement, but the trend's persistence makes unders the logical play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-10 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare James Outman props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is James Outman's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
James Outman has gone 1-9 over/under on his total bases prop in his last 10 games, hitting just 10% of overs while averaging 0.4 total bases against lines typically set around 1.8.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on James Outman Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet UNDER on James Outman's total bases props. His 9-1 under record and 0.4 average against 1.8 lines creates significant value, with unders producing a +71.8% ROI over this stretch.
What's James Outman's average Total Bases last 10 games?
James Outman is averaging just 0.4 total bases in his last 10 games compared to typical lines around 1.8, creating a massive -1.4 differential that strongly favors under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Outman's total bases unders when lines remain at 1.5 or higher, especially during his current six-game under streak. Avoid when books adjust lines significantly below 1.5 or after strong individual performances.