Jack Suwinski has been a hits prop disaster over his last 10 games, going 1-9-0 on overs with just a 10.0% success rate. Averaging only 0.6 hits against a 1.3 line creates a massive -0.7 differential. The under side offers exceptional value with a 71.8% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Suwinski's hits prop collapse represents one of the most dramatic offensive declines in recent memory. The 0.6 hits per game average against a 1.3 line suggests either the market hasn't adjusted to his current form or oddsmakers are banking on regression that simply isn't materializing. The seven-game under streak indicates this isn't random variance but a fundamental shift in his offensive production. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency—Suwinski isn't alternating between multi-hit games and hitless performances, he's stuck in a prolonged slump where even reaching base once per game has become challenging. The -80.9% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors repeatedly expecting a bounce-back that never arrives. While regression is always possible with any player, the sustained nature of this downturn and the significant gap between performance and expectations creates a rare situation where the under side offers both statistical backing and strong recent momentum. The market's apparent reluctance to fully adjust the line downward provides continued value for contrarian bettors willing to fade the eventual comeback narrative.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Suwinski's 0.6 hits per game over 10 contests creates a substantial edge against the typical 1.3 line, supported by an active seven-game under streak. The 71.8% under ROI demonstrates consistent profitability while the market appears slow to adjust. Main risk is natural regression, but the sustained nature of this slump suggests continued struggles. Target unders when lines remain at 1.5 or higher for maximum value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jack Suwinski's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Jack Suwinski has gone 1-9-0 on hits overs in his last 10 games, achieving just a 10.0% success rate. He's averaging only 0.6 hits per game against the typical 1.3 line, creating a substantial -0.7 differential that heavily favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jack Suwinski Hits last 10 games?
Bet under on Jack Suwinski's hits props with high confidence. His 0.6 average against 1.3 lines offers exceptional value, supported by seven straight unders and a 71.8% under ROI. The market hasn't adequately adjusted to his current offensive struggles.
What's Jack Suwinski's average Hits last 10 games?
Jack Suwinski is averaging just 0.6 hits per game over his last 10 contests, significantly below the standard 1.3 line. This -0.7 differential represents one of the largest gaps between performance and market expectations, creating substantial under value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jack Suwinski hits unders when lines remain at 1.5 or higher for maximum edge. His sustained slump makes any line above his 0.6 average profitable, but higher numbers offer the best risk-reward ratio given his current offensive struggles.