Ha-Seong Kim's total bases props have been a goldmine for under bettors, going 7-3 to the under over his last 10 games with a devastating -1.2 differential from the typical 2.5 line. The 33.6% ROI on unders signals a clear market inefficiency that sharp bettors should exploit.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a stark picture of a player whose offensive production has cratered relative to market expectations. Kim's 1.3 total bases average represents a massive 48% shortfall from the standard 2.5 line, creating consistent value on the under. This isn't just bad luck—it's a systematic pattern that suggests either injury concerns, mechanical issues, or a fundamental shift in his approach at the plate. The 30% over rate is particularly damning when you consider that total bases props typically see more balanced action. What makes this trend especially compelling is the consistency of the underperformance. Kim has strung together stretches of futility, including a five-game under streak that demonstrates this isn't random variance. The -42.7% ROI on overs shows just how badly the market has misjudged his current form. While regression is always possible in small samples, the magnitude of this differential suggests deeper issues than simple bad sequencing. Kim's inability to generate extra-base hits consistently has turned what should be a coin flip prop into a lopsided opportunity for disciplined under bettors.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Kim's 1.3 total bases average creates a massive 1.2-base cushion when betting unders at the standard 2.5 line. The 33.6% ROI on unders over this 10-game sample represents exceptional value that shouldn't be ignored. Target games where Kim faces quality pitching or appears in the lower third of the batting order, as these conditions amplify his current struggles. The primary risk is a sudden power surge, but his recent form suggests continued offensive struggles.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ha-Seong Kim's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Ha-Seong Kim has gone 3-7 over/under on total bases props in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 30% of the time. This translates to a 7-3 record for under bettors with a strong 33.6% return on investment.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ha-Seong Kim Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER on Kim's total bases props. His 1.3 average is 1.2 bases below the standard 2.5 line, creating consistent value. The 7-3 under record and 33.6% ROI make this a high-confidence play.
What's Ha-Seong Kim's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Kim is averaging just 1.3 total bases over his last 10 games compared to the typical 2.5 line. This -1.2 differential represents a massive 48% shortfall, creating substantial value for under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kim's total bases unders when he faces quality starting pitching or hits in the bottom third of the lineup. These conditions amplify his current struggles and provide the best risk-adjusted opportunities for profitable under bets.