Ha-Seong Kim's away home run props present one of the most reliable under plays in baseball, hitting just 11.1% overs across 36 road games. With a brutal 4-32-0 record and averaging 0.11 home runs against a typical 0.5 line, this trend shows exceptional consistency for under bettors.
Expert Analysis
Ha-Seong Kim's road power struggles represent a textbook case of environmental impact on offensive production. The 88.9% under rate across 36 away games isn't just impressive—it's historically dominant for a qualifying sample size. Kim's 0.11 average sits a staggering 0.4 home runs below the standard 0.5 line, indicating books haven't properly adjusted to his road futility. The 24-game under streak speaks to legitimate skill-based factors rather than random variance. Kim's contact-oriented approach plays particularly poorly in pitcher-friendly road environments where he lacks the Petco Park familiarity that occasionally inflates his home power numbers. The absence of meaningful over streaks (longest just 1 game) suggests this isn't cyclical but fundamental to his profile. Road conditions consistently expose Kim's gap-to-gap hitting style, where slight timing adjustments in unfamiliar ballparks prevent the barrel contact needed for home runs. The -78.8% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors consistently overestimating his road power potential. With no significant split variations to complicate the analysis, this trend maintains remarkable stability across different opponents, ballparks, and game situations, making it one of the more predictable props in the market.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Ha-Seong Kim's road home run under represents elite-tier value with an 88.9% hit rate and +69.7% ROI. The 0.4-home run gap between his average and the line creates consistent profit opportunities. Target this prop in any away game regardless of matchup, as the environmental factors driving this trend supersede pitcher-specific considerations. Primary risk involves potential line adjustment if books recognize the pattern.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ha-Seong Kim's Home Runs prop record away games?
Ha-Seong Kim has gone 4-32-0 on home run overs in away games, hitting just 11.1% of overs across 36 road contests. This represents one of the most lopsided prop records for any qualifying player in recent seasons.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ha-Seong Kim Home Runs away games?
Bet under on Ha-Seong Kim's home run props in away games. The 88.9% under rate with +69.7% ROI makes this one of the most reliable prop bets available, regardless of opponent or ballpark.
What's Ha-Seong Kim's average Home Runs away games?
Ha-Seong Kim averages 0.11 home runs per away game, sitting 0.4 home runs below the typical 0.5 line. This massive gap between production and betting expectations creates consistent value for under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Ha-Seong Kim's home run under in any away game situation. The trend shows no meaningful variation by opponent, ballpark, or game context, making every road game an optimal betting opportunity.