Ha-Seong Kim presents one of the most lopsided home run prop trends in baseball, going under in 72 of 78 games (92.3%) with just 6 overs. His 0.09 home runs per game average sits drastically below the 0.51 line, creating exceptional under value with +76.2% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Ha-Seong Kim's home run prop represents a fundamental market mispricing that has persisted across 78 games. His 0.09 home runs per game average creates a massive -0.42 differential against the typical 0.51 line, indicating books consistently overestimate his power output. This isn't a small sample anomaly—Kim's contact-oriented approach and gap-to-gap swing produce singles and doubles rather than home runs. His 32-game under streak demonstrates the sustainability of this pattern, as his swing mechanics and plate approach haven't changed. The 7.7% over rate across more than a full season's worth of data suggests this is Kim's true talent level, not temporary struggles. Market inefficiency persists because casual bettors overvalue his overall offensive contributions and underestimate how rarely middle infielders with his profile clear the fence. The -85.3% ROI on overs shows how consistently the market has been wrong, while the +76.2% under ROI represents genuine long-term value. Kim's spray chart and batted ball data would likely confirm he's simply not built for home run production, making this one of the most reliable under trends in baseball props.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Ha-Seong Kim's home run props offer exceptional value with a 92.3% under rate across 78 games and +76.2% ROI. His contact-oriented approach and 0.09 home runs per game average create a sustainable edge against inflated lines. The main risk is an occasional hot streak, but his 32-game under streak shows remarkable consistency in his gap-to-gap profile.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ha-Seong Kim's Home Runs prop record all games?
Ha-Seong Kim's home run prop record shows 6 overs and 72 unders across 78 games, translating to a 7.7% over rate. This represents one of the most lopsided trends in baseball props with exceptional under consistency.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ha-Seong Kim Home Runs all games?
Bet under on Ha-Seong Kim's home run props with high confidence. His 92.3% under rate across 78 games and +76.2% ROI make this one of the most reliable under trends in baseball betting.
What's Ha-Seong Kim's average Home Runs all games?
Ha-Seong Kim averages 0.09 home runs per game compared to typical lines around 0.51, creating a massive -0.42 differential. This gap represents fundamental market mispricing of his contact-oriented offensive profile and power limitations.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Ha-Seong Kim home run unders consistently regardless of matchup or conditions. His contact-oriented approach and gap-to-gap swing create value against any reasonable line, with 32-game under streaks demonstrating remarkable consistency.