Ha-Seong Kim's hits props have been a goldmine for under bettors, going 8-2 to the under over his last 10 games with a staggering -61.8% ROI on overs. Kim is averaging just 0.6 hits against a typical 1.8 line, creating a massive -1.2 differential that screams systematic underperformance.
Expert Analysis
Ha-Seong Kim's offensive struggles have created one of the most reliable under trends in baseball, with the Padres shortstop managing just 6 hits across 10 games for a dismal 0.6 average. This isn't merely a cold streak—it represents a fundamental disconnect between market expectations and Kim's current production level. The 80% under rate suggests books haven't adequately adjusted to Kim's diminished offensive output, likely still pricing him based on his career norms rather than recent reality. Kim's longest under streak reached six games, indicating sustained poor performance rather than isolated bad luck. The -1.2 differential between his average and the typical 1.8 line represents enormous value, as books would need to drop his line to 0.5 or lower to accurately reflect his current production. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency—Kim has exceeded one hit just twice in 10 games, suggesting either injury concerns, mechanical issues, or a fundamental shift in approach that hasn't been properly accounted for in the betting markets. The 52.7% ROI on unders demonstrates this isn't just about Kim struggling, but about a systematic market inefficiency that sharp bettors can exploit.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Ha-Seong Kim's hits props represent exceptional value on the under, backed by an 80% success rate and massive -1.2 differential from the betting line. Target games where his line sits at 1.5 or higher for maximum edge. The primary risk is regression to career norms, but the sustained nature of this slump and consistent market mispricing make this a premium fade opportunity until books properly adjust.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ha-Seong Kim's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Ha-Seong Kim has gone 2-8 to the over/under on hits props in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 20% of the time. This represents one of the most lopsided under trends among qualified players, with 8 unders in 10 games creating substantial value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ha-Seong Kim Hits last 10 games?
Bet the under on Ha-Seong Kim's hits props with high confidence. The 80% under rate and massive -1.2 differential from typical lines make this a premium fade spot. Target lines of 1.5+ for maximum value until books adjust pricing.
What's Ha-Seong Kim's average Hits last 10 games?
Ha-Seong Kim is averaging just 0.6 hits over his last 10 games, compared to the typical 1.8 line he faces. This creates a staggering -1.2 differential, meaning he's underperforming expectations by more than one full hit per game consistently.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Ha-Seong Kim hit unders when his line is set at 1.5 or higher, maximizing the value differential. Avoid betting when lines drop below 1.0, as this indicates books have finally adjusted to his current production level and eliminated the edge.