Ha-Seong Kim's hits props present a compelling under opportunity with just 34.2% overs across 79 games. His 0.7 average sits 0.6 hits below the typical 1.26 line, generating a strong 25.7% ROI on unders. This represents one of the more reliable contact play fades in baseball.
Expert Analysis
Ha-Seong Kim's hitting profile creates a systematic edge for under bettors that stems from fundamental offensive limitations. His 0.7 hits per game average against a 1.26 line reveals a market inefficiency where books consistently overvalue his contact ability. The 27-52 under record isn't fluky variance—it reflects Kim's approach as a patient hitter who works counts but lacks the bat-to-ball skills to consistently reach base via hits. His defensive reputation as an elite shortstop likely inflates public perception of his offensive capabilities, creating line value. The -34.8% ROI on overs demonstrates how punishing this prop can be for bettors chasing the higher number. Kim's swing-and-miss tendencies become more pronounced against quality pitching, and his .6 hit deficit per game compounds over larger samples. While he brings value through walks and defensive play, the hits prop specifically targets his weakest offensive skill. The consistency of this trend across 79 games suggests structural factors rather than temporary slumps, making it a reliable betting angle when the line stays elevated.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Ha-Seong Kim's hits props offer exceptional under value with a 25.7% ROI backed by 79 games of data. His patient approach generates walks but limits hit opportunities, creating a sustainable edge when books set lines around 1.5. Target this play against right-handed pitching and in pitcher-friendly parks where his contact struggles amplify. The primary risk is an unusually hot streak, but his track record suggests quick regression to his .7 average.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ha-Seong Kim's Hits prop record all games?
Ha-Seong Kim's hits prop record shows 27 overs and 52 unders across 79 games, translating to just 34.2% overs. This 65.8% under rate represents one of the more lopsided prop records among everyday players, indicating consistent market mispricing.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ha-Seong Kim Hits all games?
Bet under on Ha-Seong Kim's hits props with high confidence. His 25.7% ROI on unders across 79 games provides compelling evidence of sustainable value. The 0.6 hit deficit per game against typical lines creates a reliable edge for disciplined under bettors.
What's Ha-Seong Kim's average Hits all games?
Ha-Seong Kim averages 0.7 hits per game compared to the typical 1.26 line, creating a significant -0.6 differential. This gap explains why unders hit 65.8% of the time, as his actual production consistently falls short of market expectations set by sportsbooks.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Ha-Seong Kim hits unders against quality right-handed pitching and in pitcher-friendly ballparks. His patient approach works against him in hits props, especially when facing above-average stuff. Avoid during hot streaks, but his .7 average suggests quick regression to form.