Gleyber Torres has been a total bases under machine, going just 3-12-0 over/under (20.0% overs) with an average of 1.4 total bases against a 3.17 line. Currently riding a six-game under streak, this represents one of the season's most reliable fade opportunities.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a stark story about Torres's 2024 season decline. Averaging 1.4 total bases against a 3.17 line creates a massive -1.8 differential that suggests either the market hasn't adjusted to his diminished production or books are banking on casual Yankee money. The 20% over rate across 15 games isn't variance—it's systematic underperformance. Torres has struggled with power consistency, managing just scattered extra-base hits while frequently settling for singles or going hitless entirely. The six-game under streak indicates this isn't a temporary slump but rather a reflection of his current offensive ceiling. What makes this particularly compelling is the line hasn't moved significantly despite overwhelming under results, suggesting books either expect regression or are comfortable taking sharp under money while casual bettors chase the Yankees brand. The -61.8% over ROI versus +52.7% under ROI demonstrates how profitable fading Torres has been. Without splits data showing favorable matchups, we're left with a player whose current form dramatically underperforms market expectations. The persistence of this trend across multiple months suggests fundamental issues rather than bad luck.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Torres's systematic underperformance creates a clear edge, with his 1.4 average sitting nearly two full bases below the typical 3.17 line. The six-game under streak and 80% under rate indicate this isn't variance but sustainable underproduction. Primary risk is a sudden power surge, but his current form suggests betting unders until the market adjusts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-26 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Gleyber Torres's Total Bases prop record all games?
Torres has gone 3-12-0 over/under on total bases props in all games, hitting just 20% overs. He averages 1.4 total bases against typical lines around 3.17, creating a significant -1.8 differential that favors under bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Gleyber Torres Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Torres's total bases props. His 80% under rate, six-game under streak, and massive -1.8 average differential versus the line create a high-confidence edge that the market hasn't properly adjusted for.
What's Gleyber Torres's average Total Bases all games?
Torres averages 1.4 total bases in all games, nearly two full bases below the typical 3.17 line. This -1.8 differential represents one of the season's largest gaps between player performance and market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Any game offers value on Torres total bases unders given his consistent underperformance. The edge appears strongest when lines remain at 3+ total bases, as his current 1.4 average suggests systematic underproduction rather than temporary variance.