Geraldo Perdomo has delivered consistent hitting value over his last 10 games, going 6-4 on overs with a +14.6% ROI. The Diamondbacks shortstop is averaging 1.1 hits against a typical 0.9 line, creating a meaningful +0.2 edge. This represents a lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Perdomo's 60% over rate across this 10-game sample reflects a player finding his rhythm in the season's final stretch. The +0.2 differential between his 1.1 average and the standard 0.9 line suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his recent form. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the sustainability factor — Perdomo isn't relying on unsustainable power surges or BABIP luck, but rather consistent contact that translates to base hits. The current three-game over streak indicates momentum, though regression risk exists given the small sample size. The 14.6% ROI on overs demonstrates genuine value, not just random variance. However, the lack of detailed splits data means we're operating with limited context about specific matchup advantages. The key concern is whether this represents genuine improvement or simply a hot streak that books will eventually price out. Given Perdomo's role as a table-setter in Arizona's lineup, his hit props often carry lower juice than power numbers, making them attractive for consistent profit when you identify the right spots.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Perdomo's 1.1 average against 0.9 lines creates legitimate value, supported by a three-game over streak and positive ROI. The trend appears sustainable given his contact-oriented approach rather than luck-dependent metrics. Primary risk is the limited sample size and potential for books to adjust lines upward if this form continues.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Geraldo Perdomo's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Perdomo has gone 6-4 on hit overs in his last 10 games, representing a 60% success rate. This translates to a solid +14.6% ROI on over bets while under bets have lost -23.6%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Geraldo Perdomo Hits last 10 games?
Lean over on Perdomo's hit props. His 1.1 average against typical 0.9 lines creates consistent value, supported by a current three-game over streak and positive long-term ROI in this sample.
What's Geraldo Perdomo's average Hits last 10 games?
Perdomo is averaging 1.1 hits over his last 10 games compared to the typical 0.9 line, creating a +0.2 differential that represents genuine betting value for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Perdomo hit overs when lines remain at 0.5 or 1.5, especially during his current hot streak. Avoid if books adjust to 1.5+ consistently, as the edge diminishes significantly.