George Springer's Total Bases prop presents a compelling under opportunity with just 33.9% overs across 59 games. His 1.37 average sits 0.4 bases below the typical 1.79 line, generating strong 26.2% ROI on unders. The current 6-game under streak reinforces this systematic edge.
Expert Analysis
Springer's Total Bases underperformance stems from a fundamental shift in his offensive profile. At 34 years old, his power metrics have declined significantly, with his average of 1.37 total bases per game reflecting diminished extra-base hit frequency. The 0.4 differential between his production and the betting line suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his reduced slugging capabilities. This isn't a temporary slump—it's a sustained pattern across 59 games spanning multiple seasons. The 33.9% over rate indicates books are still pricing Springer based on his peak years rather than current reality. His longest under streak of 11 games demonstrates the consistency of this trend, while even his longest over streak maxed at just 5 games. The current 6-game under run aligns with his broader pattern of inconsistent power output. Age-related decline in bat speed and launch angle optimization typically don't reverse course mid-career. Springer's plate discipline remains solid, but his ability to turn singles into doubles and doubles into home runs has measurably decreased, making the under a mathematically sound long-term play.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Springer's systematic underperformance of his Total Bases line represents a market inefficiency driven by outdated expectations. The 26.2% ROI on unders across 59 games provides substantial evidence of sustainable edge. Target this prop when the line sits at 1.75 or higher, as his 1.37 average creates maximum value. The primary risk is a hot streak reverting his power numbers temporarily, but his age profile suggests continued decline.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 9.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-18 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare George Springer props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is George Springer's Total Bases prop record all games?
Springer's Total Bases prop shows a 20-39-0 record across all games, hitting the over just 33.9% of the time. This translates to 20 overs and 39 unders in 59 total games, demonstrating consistent underperformance against market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on George Springer Total Bases all games?
Bet the under on Springer's Total Bases props. His 26.2% ROI on unders with just 33.9% overs across 59 games creates a clear mathematical edge. His 1.37 average sits well below typical 1.79 lines, making unders the superior long-term play.
What's George Springer's average Total Bases all games?
Springer averages 1.37 Total Bases per game, which runs 0.4 bases below the typical 1.79 betting line. This significant gap between his actual production and market pricing creates consistent value for under bettors across his 59-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Springer's Total Bases unders when lines are set at 1.75 or higher, maximizing the value gap. His props work best in all game situations, as the 59-game sample shows no splits favor overs significantly enough to avoid the under edge.