Overall Home Runs: 3-16-0 O/U

15.8% Over Rate
0.16 Avg HR
0.5 Avg Line
-0.3 Avg vs Line
-69.9% Over ROI
19 Games
OVER 15.8%
UNDER 84.2%
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER

🔥 Best Situation

Away Games

2-10 O/U (16.7% Over)

+-68.2% ROI

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📉 Worst Situation

Last 10 Games

0-10 O/U (0.0% Over)

-100.0% ROI

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Home Runs Over Rate by Situation

Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.

All Home Runs Situations

Situation O/U Record Over % Avg Line Avg Actual Over ROI
All Games 3-16 15.8% 0.5 0.16 -69.9%
Away Games 2-10 16.7% 0.5 0.17 -68.2%
Last 10 Games 0-10 0.0% 0.5 — -100.0%

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home —% Over
Away 16.7% Over

By Line Range

Line < -1.5 —% Over
Line > 2.5 —% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 —% Over
Last 10 0.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Gabriel Arias's overall Home Runs prop record?

Gabriel Arias is 3-16 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (15.8% over rate).

When does Gabriel Arias go OVER on Home Runs the most?

Gabriel Arias's best Home Runs situation is Away Games, where they hit the over 16.7% of the time.

What's Gabriel Arias's average Home Runs per game?

Gabriel Arias averages 0.16 HR per game vs an average line of 0.5.

Which situation should I avoid betting?

Last 10 Games is Gabriel Arias's worst Home Runs situation at just 0.0% over rate.

Methodology: Analysis covers 19 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.