Overall Home Runs: 6-44-0 O/U
12.0%
Over Rate
0.12
Avg HR
0.5
Avg Line
-0.4
Avg vs Line
-77.1%
Over ROI
50
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Home Runs Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Home Runs Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-44 | 12.0% | 0.5 | 0.12 | -77.1% |
| Away Games | 2-24 | 7.7% | 0.5 | 0.08 | -85.3% |
| Home Games | 4-20 | 16.7% | 0.5 | 0.17 | -68.2% |
| Last 10 Games | 3-7 | 30.0% | 0.5 | 0.3 | -42.7% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
16.7% Over
Away
7.7% Over
By Line Range
Line < -1.5
—% Over
Line > 2.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
30.0% Over
Other Francisco Alvarez Props
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Francisco Alvarez's overall Home Runs prop record?
Francisco Alvarez is 6-44 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (12.0% over rate).
When does Francisco Alvarez go OVER on Home Runs the most?
Francisco Alvarez's best Home Runs situation is Last 10 Games, where they hit the over 30.0% of the time.
What's Francisco Alvarez's average Home Runs per game?
Francisco Alvarez averages 0.12 HR per game vs an average line of 0.5.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Away Games is Francisco Alvarez's worst Home Runs situation at just 7.7% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 50 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.