Edouard Julien's total bases props have been an under goldmine, hitting just 1-of-10 overs (10.0%) with a brutal -2.1 average differential from the typical 3.0 line. This 90% under rate with +71.8% ROI represents exceptional value on the under side.
Expert Analysis
Edouard Julien's total bases collapse represents one of the most exploitable prop trends in baseball. Averaging just 0.9 total bases against a standard 3.0 line, Julien is falling short by over two full bases per game. This isn't variance—it's systematic underperformance driven by fundamental offensive struggles. The 9-game under streak suggests either declining skills, poor matchup luck, or both working against him. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency—Julien hasn't just been slightly under, he's been dramatically under, indicating the line hasn't properly adjusted to his current form. The -80.9% ROI on overs shows how badly the market has mispriced his production. While regression is always possible, the magnitude of underperformance suggests structural issues rather than temporary slumping. The sample size of 10 games provides enough data to identify a clear pattern without being so large that the market has fully corrected. This type of sustained underperformance typically persists until either the player makes mechanical adjustments or faces significantly weaker pitching, neither of which appears imminent based on his recent struggles.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Julien's 90% under rate with massive -2.1 differential indicates the market hasn't properly adjusted to his current offensive struggles. Target unders when the line remains at 2.5-3.0, especially against quality pitching. Main risk is immediate offensive breakout, but the consistency of underperformance suggests continued value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-31 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Edouard Julien's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Edouard Julien went 1-9-0 on total bases overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of over bets. He averaged 0.9 total bases against lines typically set around 3.0, creating a massive -2.1 differential that devastated over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Edouard Julien Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER on Julien's total bases with high confidence. His 90% under rate and -2.1 average differential from the line represents exceptional value. The 9-game under streak shows this isn't random variance but systematic underperformance the market hasn't corrected.
What's Edouard Julien's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Julien averaged just 0.9 total bases over his last 10 games, falling 2.1 bases short of the typical 3.0 line. This represents one of the largest negative differentials in baseball, indicating severe offensive struggles that create massive under value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Julien total bases unders when lines remain at 2.5-3.0, particularly against quality pitching staffs. His consistent underperformance suggests the market is slow to adjust, creating ongoing value until books properly price his current offensive decline.