Edouard Julien's Total Bases prop in away games presents a clear under opportunity, hitting just 33.3% overs across 18 games with a devastating -0.6 differential to the standard 1.5 line. The under has delivered +27.3% ROI while overs hemorrhage -36.4%, making this one of the more reliable fade spots in baseball props.
Expert Analysis
Edouard Julien's road struggles with Total Bases stem from a fundamental mismatch between his skill set and the environments he faces away from Target Field. His 0.94 average sits a full 0.6 bases below the typical 1.5 line, indicating sportsbooks haven't properly adjusted for his road deficiencies. The 6-12 record tells only part of the story - Julien has managed just one stretch of three consecutive overs while enduring a brutal seven-game under streak that highlights his consistency in falling short. As a contact-oriented player without significant power, Julien relies heavily on favorable conditions and familiarity to accumulate bases. Road environments typically feature different dimensions, backgrounds, and pitcher arsenals that disrupt timing for hitters like Julien who depend on precision over raw power. The sample size of 18 games provides sufficient data to identify a legitimate trend rather than random variance. Most concerning for over bettors is the lack of any meaningful hot streaks - even during his best stretch, Julien managed only three consecutive overs before reverting to form. The -36.4% ROI on overs represents substantial value destruction, while the under's +27.3% return demonstrates the market's persistent overvaluation of his road production.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Edouard Julien's Total Bases away props offer exceptional under value with a 67% hit rate and +27.3% ROI. The 0.6 differential below the line is massive in a market where edges are measured in hundredths. Target this prop when Julien faces quality pitching or plays in pitcher-friendly parks. The primary risk is a random hot streak, but his seven-game under streak demonstrates remarkable consistency in disappointment.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-08-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Edouard Julien's Total Bases prop record away games?
Edouard Julien's Total Bases record in away games stands at 6-12-0 over/under, hitting just 33.3% overs. He averages 0.94 Total Bases per road game, falling 0.6 bases short of the typical 1.5 line across 18 games from 2023-2024.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Edouard Julien Total Bases away games?
Bet the under on Edouard Julien's Total Bases in away games with high confidence. The under has produced +27.3% ROI while hitting 67% of the time, making it one of the most reliable props in baseball betting markets.
What's Edouard Julien's average Total Bases away games?
Edouard Julien averages 0.94 Total Bases in away games, sitting 0.6 bases below the standard 1.5 line. This massive differential represents exceptional under value, as he consistently falls short of market expectations on the road.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Edouard Julien Total Bases unders when he faces quality starting pitching or plays in pitcher-friendly ballparks. His contact-dependent style struggles most against power arms and in environments that suppress offensive production, maximizing under value.