Edouard Julien presents a historically perfect under opportunity with an unprecedented 0-10-0 record on home run props over his last 10 games. The Minnesota second baseman has failed to clear 0.5 home runs in every single contest, delivering a flawless -100% ROI for over bettors and +90.9% returns for under backers.
Expert Analysis
Julien's complete absence of home run production over this 10-game stretch represents more than just a cold streak—it reveals fundamental limitations in his power profile that make the 0.5 home run line consistently inflated. As a contact-oriented second baseman, Julien's approach prioritizes getting on base over driving the ball with authority. His swing mechanics and bat path naturally produce line drives and ground balls rather than the launch angle needed for consistent home run production. The 0.5 line appears to be set based on positional expectations rather than Julien's actual power output, creating a systematic pricing inefficiency. While regression toward league averages is always possible, Julien's profile suggests his natural home run rate sits well below what oddsmakers are pricing. The consistency of this trend across different opponents, ballparks, and game situations indicates this isn't merely bad luck but rather reflects his true talent level. Even accounting for small sample variance, a player going 0-for-10 on home run props typically signals a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and actual capability.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Julien's complete power drought over 10 games reflects his true talent level rather than temporary variance. The 0.5 home run line consistently overestimates his capabilities, creating reliable value on the under. Target this prop in any ballpark against any pitcher until the market adjusts or Julien demonstrates sustained power improvement. The main risk is eventual regression, but his contact-first profile suggests continued under value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Edouard Julien's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
Julien has gone 0-10-0 on home run props over his last 10 games, failing to hit a single home run while the line was consistently set at 0.5. This represents a perfect under record with zero overs in the sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Edouard Julien Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet the under with high confidence. Julien's complete power absence over 10 games reflects his true talent level, making the 0.5 home run line consistently inflated and creating reliable value on the under side.
What's Edouard Julien's average Home Runs last 10 games?
Julien has averaged 0 home runs over his last 10 games compared to the 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This massive gap between actual production and market expectations highlights the systematic mispricing.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Julien's home run under in any situation until the market adjusts. His contact-first profile makes the under valuable regardless of opponent, ballpark, or game context, though smaller ballparks offer slightly higher risk.