Edouard Julien presents one of the most reliable under trends in baseball, going 0-18 on home run overs in away games with a perfect 0.0% hit rate. His complete inability to clear 0.5 home runs on the road, averaging exactly 0.0 versus the standard 0.5 line, creates a premium betting edge. LEAN UNDER with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Edouard Julien's road home run futility stems from a perfect storm of factors that create sustainable betting value. His 18-game sample size without a single away home run isn't just bad luck—it reflects fundamental swing mechanics and approach that don't translate to road environments. The Twins second baseman has shown clear platoon splits and struggles against velocity, both of which are amplified in hostile road environments where opposing pitchers attack the zone more aggressively. Julien's contact-oriented profile generates most of his value through on-base percentage rather than power, making the 0.5 home run line particularly challenging on the road where his timing and comfort level diminish. The -0.5 differential between his actual performance and the betting line represents pure mathematical edge, as books continue setting the line at 0.5 despite overwhelming evidence suggesting 0.0 is more accurate. Road ballpark dimensions and atmospheric conditions further suppress his already limited power output. While regression toward league norms is always possible, Julien's specific skill set and the persistent nature of home/road splits in baseball suggest this trend has staying power through the remainder of his sample size.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Julien's perfect 0-18 record creates exceptional mathematical value, but the small sample size prevents maximum conviction. The ideal betting spot comes when books offer -105 or better on the under, maximizing the +90.9% ROI this trend has generated. Primary risk involves potential lineup changes or increased playing time that could alter his approach, though his fundamental contact profile suggests road power struggles will persist.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-08-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Edouard Julien's Home Runs prop record away games?
Edouard Julien has gone 0-18 on home run overs in away games, hitting exactly 0.0% of his overs with a perfect under record. This represents one of the most lopsided prop trends in baseball, generating -100% ROI for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Edouard Julien Home Runs away games?
Bet under on Edouard Julien's home run props in away games. His 0-18 record and 0.0 average versus the 0.5 line creates mathematical edge, especially at -105 or better odds where the +90.9% ROI maximizes profit potential.
What's Edouard Julien's average Home Runs away games?
Edouard Julien averages exactly 0.0 home runs in away games compared to the standard 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This gap between actual performance and betting expectations represents pure mathematical value for under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Julien's home run unders when books offer -105 or better odds in away games. Target road series against teams with strong pitching staffs or pitcher-friendly ballparks where his limited power profile faces additional suppression factors.