Edouard Julien's hits props have been significantly underperforming, going under in 60% of games over his last 10 contests. The Twins second baseman is averaging just 0.7 hits against a typical 1.4 line, creating a substantial 0.7-hit deficit that has generated +14.6% ROI on unders.
Expert Analysis
Julien's recent hitting struggles represent a clear departure from his seasonal expectations, with the 0.7 hits per game average sitting well below typical prop lines around 1.4. This 50% underperformance suggests either a mechanical issue, unfavorable matchups, or simple regression from earlier hot streaks. The consistency of this trend is notable – Julien has managed just 4 overs in 10 games, indicating this isn't random variance but a sustained downturn. The current two-game under streak aligns with the broader pattern, though regression risk increases as sample size grows. Without specific split data to identify situational factors, we're relying on the raw performance gap, which has been stark enough to overcome typical juice on unders. The -23.6% ROI on overs reinforces how poorly positioned the betting market has been, consistently overvaluing Julien's hit potential during this stretch. However, talented hitters like Julien typically don't sustain .700 OPS-level production indefinitely, making timing crucial for continued under success.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.7-hit deficit against standard lines is too significant to ignore, especially with unders delivering +14.6% ROI over this sample. Target games where Julien faces quality pitching or in pitcher-friendly environments to maximize edge. Primary risk is natural regression as talented hitters typically break out of extended slumps, making this a trend to ride cautiously rather than chase blindly.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 4.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Edouard Julien's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Julien has gone 4-6-0 on his hits props over the last 10 games, hitting the over just 40% of the time. He's averaging 0.7 hits per game, which is 0.7 hits below the typical 1.4 line during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Edouard Julien Hits last 10 games?
Lean under on Julien's hits props based on his recent struggles. The 0.7-hit average against 1.4 lines has generated +14.6% ROI on unders, though regression risk exists given his talent level and this extended slump.
What's Edouard Julien's average Hits last 10 games?
Julien is averaging just 0.7 hits over his last 10 games compared to typical prop lines around 1.4 hits. This represents a significant 0.7-hit deficit that has consistently favored under bettors during this stretch.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Julien hits unders when he faces quality starting pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks. The 0.7-hit average suggests continued struggles, but avoid chasing this trend blindly as regression becomes more likely with extended samples.