Dean Kremer presents a perfectly balanced strikeout prop with a 50% over rate across 18 games, averaging 5.11 strikeouts against a 4.83 line. The modest +0.3 differential and -4.5% ROI on both sides indicate efficient market pricing with minimal edge available.
Expert Analysis
Kremer's strikeout props reveal a pitcher operating right at market expectations, which creates both opportunity and caution for bettors. The 9-9 split over 18 games suggests the oddsmakers have found his true range, but that +0.3 average differential above the line indicates slight over bias in his performance. The Baltimore right-hander's strikeout production appears remarkably consistent, with neither extended hot nor cold streaks - his longest runs are just two games in either direction. This consistency actually works against dramatic value plays, as Kremer rarely delivers the explosive 8+ strikeout games that create massive over wins, nor does he frequently crater with 2-3 strikeout duds. The -4.5% ROI on both sides confirms what the record suggests: this is a efficiently priced market where books have dialed in his true output level. Without additional context like opposing team strikeout rates, park factors, or recent velocity trends, Kremer's props become a coin flip proposition. The slight positive differential suggests he's been marginally better than expected, but regression toward the mean remains a constant threat with such a balanced sample.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. While Kremer's +0.3 differential above the line suggests marginal over value, the perfectly balanced 9-9 record and negative ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market. Without additional contextual edges like favorable matchups or recent form trends, this becomes a low-edge proposition where the juice likely eliminates any theoretical advantage.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 7.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 8.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 10.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-05 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-30 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-24 | OPP | 5.5 | 10.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-19 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-13 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dean Kremer's Strikeouts prop record all games?
Dean Kremer's strikeout prop record stands at 9-9-0 over/under across 18 games, representing a perfectly balanced 50% over rate. This even split demonstrates how efficiently the market has priced his strikeout output throughout the sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dean Kremer Strikeouts all games?
Pass on Dean Kremer's strikeout props in most situations. The 9-9 record and -4.5% ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market with minimal edge. Only bet with additional contextual advantages like favorable matchups or park factors.
What's Dean Kremer's average Strikeouts all games?
Dean Kremer averages 5.11 strikeouts per game against a typical line of 4.83, creating a +0.3 differential. While this suggests slight over bias, the modest edge combined with negative ROI indicates the differential isn't large enough to overcome market efficiency.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Dean Kremer strikeout overs against high-strikeout teams or in pitcher-friendly parks where his +0.3 differential becomes more meaningful. Avoid betting without additional contextual edges, as the balanced 9-9 record suggests fair market pricing in neutral conditions.