Davis Schneider's total bases props present a compelling under opportunity with just 36.7% overs across 30 games. His 1.1 average sits a full half-base below the typical 1.57 line, generating +20.9% ROI on unders while overs lose at -30.0%. The data strongly favors betting under.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a stark story about Davis Schneider's offensive limitations translating to consistent total bases value. His 1.1 average against a 1.57 line represents a massive 0.47-base gap that's too significant to ignore over a meaningful 30-game sample. This isn't a small edge – it's a chasm that suggests the market consistently overvalues Schneider's power potential. The -30.0% ROI on overs indicates bettors are getting burned repeatedly chasing upside that simply doesn't materialize. Schneider's profile as a contact hitter with limited extra-base power creates a ceiling effect where singles dominate his hit distribution. The current three-game under streak, following a season-long pattern of under dominance, suggests this isn't regression but rather market inefficiency. His longest under streak reached six games, demonstrating the persistence of this trend. Without platoon splits or situational data showing dramatic variance, the consistency of under performance across all conditions makes this one of the more reliable props in baseball. The 20.9% ROI on unders over 30 games provides substantial evidence that books haven't properly adjusted to Schneider's true offensive ceiling.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. The 0.47-base differential between Schneider's actual performance and typical lines creates exceptional value on unders. With 63.3% of games staying under and generating +20.9% ROI, this represents one of baseball's most reliable under trends. The ideal condition is any standard total bases line above 1.5, where Schneider's contact-heavy approach and limited power consistently fall short. The main risk is a sudden power surge, but 30 games of data suggest his offensive ceiling remains well-established.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-18 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Davis Schneider's Total Bases prop record all games?
Davis Schneider's total bases record shows 11 overs and 19 unders across 30 games, hitting just 36.7% overs. This translates to unders cashing 63.3% of the time with a +20.9% ROI, while overs lose money at -30.0% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Davis Schneider Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Davis Schneider's total bases props. His 1.1 average sits 0.47 bases below typical lines, creating exceptional under value. The 63.3% under rate and +20.9% ROI make this one of baseball's most reliable under trends.
What's Davis Schneider's average Total Bases all games?
Davis Schneider averages 1.1 total bases per game compared to the typical 1.57 line, creating a significant 0.47-base deficit. This massive gap explains why unders hit 63.3% of the time and generate positive ROI.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Davis Schneider total bases unders when lines are set at 1.5 or higher. His contact-heavy approach and limited power make any line above his 1.1 average profitable, with the edge increasing as lines rise.