Daniel Schneemann's hits props have been a goldmine for under bettors, going 1-9-0 over the last 10 games with just a 10.0% over rate. Averaging only 0.4 hits against a 1.3 line creates a massive -0.9 differential, generating +71.8% ROI on unders. This represents a clear systematic edge favoring the under.
Expert Analysis
Schneemann's catastrophic 10% over rate signals a fundamental disconnect between market expectations and reality. The 0.4 hits average against a 1.3 line reveals books are pricing him nearly a full hit too high, creating consistent value on unders. This isn't random variance—nine consecutive unders suggests either a skills regression, role change, or persistent matchup disadvantages. The -0.9 differential is enormous in baseball props, where margins are typically razor-thin. What's particularly compelling is the consistency of failure—Schneemann hasn't just missed narrowly, he's been systematically overvalued. The 71.8% ROI on unders over 10 games represents exceptional profitability that rarely persists without underlying cause. However, regression concerns are real—no player sustains a 10% over rate indefinitely. The question becomes whether this reflects a new baseline performance level or temporary struggles. Given the sample size and consistency, this appears more structural than cyclical, suggesting continued under value until the market adjusts pricing downward.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Schneemann's systematic underperformance against inflated lines creates exceptional value on unders. The 71.8% ROI and 90% under rate over 10 games indicates the market hasn't adjusted to his current form. Target unders when the line remains at 1.5 or higher, as books appear slow to recognize his reduced production level.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Daniel Schneemann's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Schneemann has gone 1-9-0 on hits overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 10% of over bets. He's averaging only 0.4 hits per game against typical lines around 1.3, creating a massive -0.9 differential that heavily favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Daniel Schneemann Hits last 10 games?
Bet the under on Schneemann's hits props. His 90% under rate and 71.8% ROI on unders over 10 games represents exceptional value. The market hasn't adjusted to his reduced production, creating systematic profit opportunities on the under side.
What's Daniel Schneemann's average Hits last 10 games?
Schneemann is averaging just 0.4 hits over his last 10 games compared to the typical 1.3 line. This creates a massive -0.9 differential, meaning he's falling nearly a full hit short of market expectations consistently.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schneemann hit unders when lines are 1.5 or higher, as books appear slow to adjust pricing. Avoid when lines drop to 0.5 or 1.0, as that signals the market may finally be catching up to his reduced production level.