Cedric Mullins has been a total bases under goldmine, hitting just 32.7% overs across 101 games with a devastating -0.8 differential from the standard 2.0 line. The under delivers a robust 28.5% ROI while overs hemorrhage 37.6%. This is a clear lean under opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Cedric Mullins represents one of the most reliable under plays in baseball's total bases market, and the underlying numbers reveal why this edge persists. His 1.17 average against a 2.0 line creates an enormous 0.8 gap that speaks to fundamental offensive limitations rather than temporary slumps. The 32.7% over rate across 101 games provides substantial sample size confidence, while the contrasting ROI figures tell the complete story – unders profit at 28.5% while overs crater at -37.6%. This isn't variance; it's systematic underperformance. Mullins has struggled with consistent power output, and his profile suggests a player whose ceiling is often capped at singles and doubles rather than the extra-base hits needed to clear 2+ total bases. The streak data reinforces this narrative, with his longest under streak reaching 14 games compared to just 7 overs, indicating prolonged periods where his offensive output simply cannot reach the required threshold. Books appear slow to adjust his lines downward, creating persistent value for under bettors who recognize that Mullins's current form represents his true talent level rather than a temporary downturn.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Mullins's 1.17 average creates substantial value against the typical 2.0 line, supported by exceptional under ROI performance. The 101-game sample eliminates small sample concerns while the -0.8 differential suggests books haven't properly adjusted. Primary risk involves potential lineup changes or park factors that could inflate his floor, but the consistency of his underperformance makes this a reliable spot.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 8.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cedric Mullins's Total Bases prop record all games?
Cedric Mullins has gone over his total bases prop in just 33 of 101 games (32.7%) with 68 unders. His average of 1.17 total bases falls significantly short of the typical 2.0 line, creating consistent under value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cedric Mullins Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Cedric Mullins total bases props. His 1.17 average versus 2.0 lines creates an 0.8 edge, while unders deliver 28.5% ROI compared to overs losing 37.6%. The 101-game sample confirms this edge.
What's Cedric Mullins's average Total Bases all games?
Cedric Mullins averages 1.17 total bases per game across 101 contests, falling 0.8 bases short of the standard 2.0 line. This massive gap explains why he hits overs just 32.7% of the time.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Mullins total bases unders consistently given his reliable underperformance pattern. The edge appears strongest when books set standard 2.0 lines, as his 1.17 average creates persistent value regardless of opponent or venue.