Cedric Mullins presents one of baseball's most reliable under opportunities in away games, hitting just 6 home runs across 52 road contests (11.5% over rate). His 0.13 average sits a massive 0.4 below the typical 0.5 line, creating exceptional under value with +68.9% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Cedric Mullins's road power struggles represent a systematic breakdown rather than random variance. His 11.5% over rate across 52 away games signals a fundamental disconnect between his road performance and standard pricing. The 0.13 home run average away from Camden Yards reveals how dramatically different environments affect his power output. Most telling is the streak data showing a current 7-game under run and a staggering 21-game under streak at one point, indicating this isn't merely a cold spell but a persistent pattern. The -0.4 differential between his actual average and the standard 0.5 line represents massive market inefficiency. Road factors likely contributing include unfamiliar ballpark dimensions, different atmospheric conditions, and the mental adjustment to hostile environments. While regression toward league norms is always possible, Mullins's track record suggests his road power deficit is deeply ingrained. The sample size of 52 games provides statistical significance, and the consistency of underperformance across different venues strengthens the case that this represents genuine skill-based limitations rather than temporary struggles.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Cedric Mullins's road home run props offer exceptional value with an 88.5% hit rate and +68.9% ROI over 52 games. The 0.4 differential between his actual average and standard lines creates a systematic edge that shows no signs of regression. Target this play consistently in away games, particularly when lines sit at 0.5. The primary risk is a sudden power surge, but his established pattern suggests continued underperformance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cedric Mullins's Home Runs prop record away games?
Cedric Mullins has gone 6-46-0 on home run overs in away games, hitting just 11.5% of his over bets. He's averaged only 0.13 home runs per road game across 52 contests from May 2023 through September 2024.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cedric Mullins Home Runs away games?
Bet UNDER on Cedric Mullins home run props in away games with high confidence. His 88.5% under hit rate and +68.9% ROI make this one of baseball's most reliable prop betting opportunities.
What's Cedric Mullins's average Home Runs away games?
Cedric Mullins averages 0.13 home runs per away game, sitting 0.4 below the standard 0.5 line. This massive differential creates exceptional under value, as he fails to reach even half the typical betting threshold.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Cedric Mullins home run unders consistently in all away games, especially when lines sit at 0.5. His road power struggles appear systematic rather than situational, making every away contest a potential betting opportunity.