Cedric Mullins has been a consistent under performer in away games, hitting the over just 45.1% of the time across 51 games with a -13.9% ROI on overs. His 0.8 hits average falls 0.1 short of typical lines, creating clear value on the under.
Expert Analysis
Cedric Mullins's away game struggles represent a legitimate market inefficiency that sharp bettors can exploit. The Baltimore center fielder's 23-28 over/under record away from Camden Yards tells a story of consistent underperformance that the betting market hasn't fully adjusted to. His 0.8 hits per game average in road contests falls meaningfully short of the standard 0.89 line, creating a sustainable edge for under bettors. The -13.9% ROI on overs demonstrates just how costly it has been to back Mullins away from home, while under bettors have enjoyed a modest 4.8% profit. This isn't a small sample fluke - 51 games provides substantial data showing Mullins genuinely performs worse on the road. The trend appears rooted in his comfort level at home versus the challenges of different ballparks, lighting conditions, and travel fatigue. With both his longest over and under streaks reaching seven games, the volatility cuts both ways, but the underlying numbers strongly favor continued underperformance. The market seems slow to recognize this road/home split, making Mullins's away hits unders one of the more reliable plays in baseball props.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Mullins's consistent road struggles create legitimate value on hits unders away from Baltimore, supported by 51 games of data showing a clear performance gap. The ideal spot is any standard line at 0.5 or 1.5 hits, particularly in pitcher-friendly road environments. The main risk is positive regression, but his road comfort issues appear systemic rather than temporary.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Hits Prop Lines
Compare Cedric Mullins props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cedric Mullins's Hits prop record away games?
Mullins has gone over his hits prop in just 23 of 51 away games (45.1%), with 28 unders and no pushes. This 23-28-0 record represents consistent underperformance on the road across a meaningful sample size.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cedric Mullins Hits away games?
Bet the under on Mullins's hits props in away games. His 0.8 average falls short of typical lines, under bettors show positive ROI, and 51 games demonstrate genuine road struggles rather than temporary variance.
What's Cedric Mullins's average Hits away games?
Mullins averages 0.8 hits per away game compared to the typical 0.89 line, creating a -0.1 differential that consistently favors under bettors. This gap has proven sustainable across 51 road contests.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mullins hits unders in any away game, especially against quality pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks. Standard lines around 0.5-1.5 hits offer the best value given his consistent road underperformance patterns.