Bryson Stott shows a perfectly balanced 9-9 hits record in away games with a slight edge averaging 1.11 hits against typical 0.89 lines. The +0.22 differential suggests modest value, though negative ROI on both sides indicates market efficiency. Lean OVER based on the consistent production differential.
Expert Analysis
Bryson Stott's away hits performance reveals a fascinating case study in market calibration. His 1.11 average against 0.89 lines represents a meaningful 24.7% edge that persists across 18 games spanning over a year. This differential suggests books may be undervaluing Stott's road consistency, possibly influenced by the common assumption that hitters struggle away from home. The perfectly even 9-9 split masks the underlying value proposition - Stott consistently produces above the betting line even when results don't always clear the number. The negative ROI on both sides reflects tight market pricing rather than a flawed premise. Stott's profile as a contact-oriented middle infielder translates well to road environments where his approach doesn't rely on park-specific advantages. The longest over streak of four games demonstrates his ability to string together productive road trips, while the modest under streaks suggest regression opportunities. Without dramatic home/road splits in his underlying metrics, this appears to be a case where the market hasn't fully adjusted to his road reliability, creating a sustainable edge for disciplined bettors willing to accept the variance inherent in hit props.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +0.22 differential between Stott's 1.11 average and typical 0.89 lines represents genuine value that has persisted across 18 games. Target spots where the line sits at 0.5 or 1.5 to maximize the mathematical edge. Primary risk is the negative ROI suggesting sharp money may have already identified this trend, but the production differential remains compelling enough to warrant selective action.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bryson Stott's Hits prop record away games?
Bryson Stott holds a perfectly balanced 9-9 record on hits props in away games across 18 contests. This 50% over rate spans from May 2023 through September 2024, showing remarkable consistency.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bryson Stott Hits away games?
Lean OVER on Stott's away hits props. His 1.11 average significantly exceeds typical 0.89 lines, creating a +0.22 edge. Target lines at 0.5 or 1.5 for maximum value extraction.
What's Bryson Stott's average Hits away games?
Stott averages 1.11 hits in away games compared to typical betting lines of 0.89. This +0.22 differential represents a 24.7% edge that has sustained across 18 road contests.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Stott hits overs when lines are set at 0.5 or 1.5, maximizing the value from his consistent 1.11 road average. Avoid inflated lines above 1.5 where the edge diminishes significantly.