Bo Bichette's total bases props have been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 46.0% of overs across 50 games with a brutal 23-27-0 record. The shortstop is currently riding a scorching 10-game under streak, generating +3.1% ROI for disciplined under backers. LEAN UNDER.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of systematic underperformance against inflated lines. Bichette's 1.82 total bases average barely exceeds the typical 1.68 line, creating just a +0.14 edge that evaporates under betting juice. This marginal production stems from his contact-heavy approach yielding more singles than extra-base hits, while books continue pricing him like the power threat he was in 2021-2022. The current 10-game under streak isn't just variance—it reflects a fundamental shift in Bichette's offensive profile. His launch angle has flattened, reducing the doubles and triples that once drove his total bases totals. The -12.2% ROI on overs tells the real story: books are slow to adjust their pricing model for a player whose ceiling has clearly dropped. Most concerning for over bettors is how this trend has shown zero signs of regression despite the extended sample size. When a player consistently fails to reach modest total bases expectations over 50 games, it signals a deeper issue than temporary struggles.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The combination of systematic underperformance (46% over rate) and positive under ROI (+3.1%) creates a sustainable edge. Target games where Bichette faces quality pitching or in pitcher-friendly parks to maximize value. Primary risk is a sudden power surge breaking this extended cold streak, but his contact-oriented profile suggests continued singles-heavy production.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare Bo Bichette props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bo Bichette's Total Bases prop record all games?
Bo Bichette has gone 23-27-0 on total bases overs across 50 games, hitting just 46.0% of his props. This poor over rate has generated a -12.2% ROI for over bettors while under backers enjoyed +3.1% returns.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bo Bichette Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Bo Bichette's total bases props. His 46% over rate and current 10-game under streak create a clear edge, especially with his contact-heavy approach limiting extra-base production that drives these totals higher.
What's Bo Bichette's average Total Bases all games?
Bo Bichette averages 1.82 total bases per game against typical lines of 1.68. While this shows slight positive value, the minimal +0.14 edge gets erased by betting juice, explaining his poor 46% over rate.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Bichette total bases unders against quality pitching and in pitcher-friendly ballparks. His contact-oriented profile struggles most when facing elite stuff, making these spots ideal for maximizing the established under trend.