Blake Perkins has delivered a perfect 0-10-0 under record on home run props over his last 10 games, averaging zero home runs against the standard 0.5 line. This represents a complete absence of power production from Milwaukee's center fielder, creating exceptional under value.
Expert Analysis
Blake Perkins's complete lack of home run production over this 10-game sample reflects his fundamental profile as a contact-oriented center fielder rather than a power threat. The 0.0% over rate isn't a statistical fluke—it aligns with Perkins's career trajectory and role within Milwaukee's lineup. As a defensive specialist who typically bats in the lower third of the order, Perkins prioritizes making contact and getting on base over driving the ball for extra bases. His swing mechanics and approach favor line drives and ground balls, not the launch angle needed for consistent home run production. The -0.5 differential against the 0.5 line demonstrates how accurately the market has priced his power limitations, yet books continue offering this prop, likely banking on casual bettors overestimating any major leaguer's home run potential. This trend's persistence suggests structural factors rather than temporary slump—Perkins simply isn't built for power production. The 10-game under streak represents sustainable performance rather than negative variance, as his plate approach and physical tools haven't changed. Unlike power hitters experiencing cold streaks, Perkins's zero home runs reflect his actual ceiling rather than underperformance.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Blake Perkins's complete absence of power production over 10 games reflects his true talent level rather than temporary struggles. The 0.5 home run line consistently overestimates his capabilities, creating reliable under value. Target this prop when available, especially in pitcher-friendly parks or against quality opponents where his contact-first approach faces additional challenges.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Blake Perkins's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
Blake Perkins has gone 0-10-0 on home run props over his last 10 games, hitting zero home runs against the standard 0.5 line. This perfect under record generated -100% ROI on overs and +90.9% ROI on unders.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Blake Perkins Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet under on Blake Perkins home run props with high confidence. His zero home runs in 10 games reflects his contact-first profile rather than a slump, making the 0.5 line consistently overpriced for his actual power capabilities.
What's Blake Perkins's average Home Runs last 10 games?
Blake Perkins has averaged exactly 0.0 home runs over his last 10 games compared to the typical 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This perfectly reflects his role as a defensive specialist without legitimate power production.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Blake Perkins home run unders consistently, especially in pitcher-friendly ballparks or against quality pitching staffs. His contact-first approach and defensive specialist role create reliable under value regardless of specific game conditions.