Anthony Rendon's total bases prop presents a compelling under opportunity with a brutal 32.5% over rate across 40 games. His 1.12 average sits 1.1 bases below the typical 2.27 line, creating a -38% ROI disaster for over bettors while under backers enjoy +28.9% returns. The data screams fade Rendon's power.
Expert Analysis
Rendon's total bases collapse reflects a player whose prime power years are firmly in the rearview mirror. The 1.12 average against a 2.27 line represents a massive 50% shortfall that speaks to fundamental decline rather than temporary slump. His current 5-game under streak extends a pattern of consistent disappointment, with an 11-game under run highlighting just how far his offensive ceiling has dropped. The 13-27 record isn't fluky variance—it's systematic underperformance from a third baseman whose extra-base hit frequency has cratered. Age-related bat speed decline typically doesn't reverse course, and Rendon's inability to drive balls with authority has become his defining characteristic. The Angels' offensive struggles compound this issue, as fewer RBI opportunities limit his ceiling even in favorable matchups. While injury concerns could theoretically explain some struggles, the consistency of this underperformance across 40 games suggests this is simply Rendon's current talent level. Books continue setting lines based on name recognition and past performance, creating persistent value for under bettors willing to bet against reputation.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Rendon's 68% under rate combined with the massive -1.1 differential creates exceptional value that books haven't properly adjusted for. Target this prop in all situations, as his power decline appears permanent rather than situational. The main risk is an outlier multi-hit game with doubles, but his 11-game under streak demonstrates how rare those performances have become for the aging third baseman.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Rendon's Total Bases prop record all games?
Rendon's total bases prop record shows 13 overs and 27 unders across 40 games, creating a dismal 32.5% over rate. This translates to a -38% ROI for over bettors while under backers have enjoyed a profitable +28.9% return on investment.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Rendon Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Rendon's total bases props with high confidence. His 1.12 average sits 1.1 bases below typical lines, creating a 68% under rate that reflects permanent decline rather than temporary struggles. The value is too significant to ignore.
What's Anthony Rendon's average Total Bases all games?
Rendon averages just 1.12 total bases per game compared to the typical 2.27 line, representing a massive 50% shortfall. This 1.1 base deficit has created consistent value for under bettors across his 40-game sample size.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Rendon total bases unders in all situations, as his decline appears universal rather than matchup-dependent. His power struggles persist regardless of opponent or venue, making this one of the most reliable under trends in baseball betting.