Anthony Rendon presents the most extreme home run fade in baseball, going 0-23 on over bets in away games with a perfect 0.0% hit rate. His 0.00 average sits 0.54 homers below typical lines, generating -100% ROI on overs versus +90.9% on unders. This is a premium under bet.
Expert Analysis
Rendon's away home run drought represents one of the most statistically significant trends in modern baseball betting. Over 23 road games spanning 15 months, he has failed to clear the over in every single instance, averaging exactly zero home runs per game against lines typically set around 0.5. This isn't variance—it's systematic offensive decline in hostile environments. The -0.54 differential between his production and betting lines suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his road power outage, creating persistent value on unders. Several factors explain this phenomenon: Rendon's aging profile shows diminished bat speed against quality away pitching, his swing mechanics appear compromised by the pressure of unfamiliar ballparks, and his plate discipline deteriorates significantly outside Angel Stadium's friendly confines. The 23-game streak isn't just impressive—it's historically rare, indicating either a fundamental shift in his road approach or a prolonged slump that betting markets are slow to recognize. While regression seems inevitable mathematically, Rendon's advanced age and recent injury history suggest this could represent a new baseline rather than temporary variance. The sample size provides high confidence, and the consistency across different opponents, weather conditions, and game situations strengthens the case that this trend has legitimate staying power.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Rendon's perfect 0-23 under record in away games represents elite betting value, particularly when lines exceed 0.5 home runs. The 0.54 average shortfall creates consistent profit opportunities, while his age-related decline suggests this isn't temporary variance. Target unders when he faces quality road pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks. Primary risk is inevitable regression, but his advanced metrics support continued road power struggles.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Rendon's Home Runs prop record away games?
Rendon is 0-23 on home run overs in away games, a perfect 0.0% hit rate spanning from June 2023 to September 2024. He has averaged exactly zero home runs per road game against typical lines of 0.54, creating a -0.54 differential that generates +90.9% ROI on unders.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Rendon Home Runs away games?
Bet UNDER with high confidence. Rendon's perfect 0-23 under record in away games represents one of baseball's most reliable trends. His zero home run average sits well below typical lines, creating consistent value. Target unders especially when lines exceed 0.5 home runs.
What's Anthony Rendon's average Home Runs away games?
Rendon averages exactly 0.00 home runs in away games compared to typical betting lines around 0.54. This -0.54 differential represents significant underperformance, with his road power completely absent over 23 games spanning 15 months of action.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Rendon home run unders in any away game, especially against quality pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks. The 23-game perfect under streak provides confidence regardless of specific matchups. Avoid when lines drop below 0.5, though this rarely occurs given his consistent road struggles.