Andy Pages has been a consistent under performer on Total Bases props in away games, hitting just 37.0% overs with a brutal -1.2 differential from the typical 2.35 line. His 1.15 average away from home represents a significant fade opportunity with strong historical backing.
Expert Analysis
The Andy Pages Total Bases away trend reveals a player who fundamentally struggles to produce offensive output on the road. His 1.15 average against a 2.35 line creates a massive 1.2 base differential that's difficult to ignore from a betting perspective. This isn't marginal underperformance - it's systematic failure to reach reasonable expectations. The 10-17 over/under record translates to hitting overs just 37.0% of the time, well below the 52.4% break-even rate needed for standard -110 pricing. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency of the underperformance. Pages isn't alternating between massive games and complete duds - he's steadily producing below-average output away from Dodger Stadium. The +20.2% ROI on unders demonstrates real betting value, while the -29.3% ROI on overs shows how costly it would be to bet against this trend. The current streak of one under continues a pattern where Pages has shown longer under streaks (up to 6 games) than over streaks (maximum 3 games). This suggests the road struggles aren't just variance but reflect genuine environmental factors affecting his offensive production.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Pages's road Total Bases struggles are too pronounced to ignore, with his 1.15 average sitting 1.2 bases below typical lines. The 37.0% over rate and +20.2% under ROI provide solid mathematical backing. Main risk is potential lineup changes or matchup-specific advantages that could boost his production, but the trend's consistency suggests betting unders on Pages Total Bases in away games offers legitimate value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-05 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Andy Pages's Total Bases prop record away games?
Andy Pages has gone 10-17 on Total Bases overs in away games, hitting just 37.0% of overs. His 1.15 average is significantly below the typical 2.35 line, creating a -1.2 differential that favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Andy Pages Total Bases away games?
Bet under on Andy Pages Total Bases in away games. His 37.0% over rate and +20.2% under ROI provide strong mathematical support, with his 1.15 road average sitting well below standard lines.
What's Andy Pages's average Total Bases away games?
Andy Pages averages 1.15 Total Bases in away games compared to typical 2.35 lines. This creates a significant 1.2 base differential that consistently favors under bets with his road struggles.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Andy Pages Total Bases unders specifically in away games where his 37.0% over rate and +20.2% under ROI are strongest. His road environment appears to consistently limit offensive production.